Michael Chiesa vs Vicente Luque Pick, 8/7/2021 Predictions UFC 265 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 8/3/2021

Michael Chiesa vs Vicente Luque

UFC 265

Toyota Center in Houston, TX

Saturday, August 7, 2021

Michael Chiesa will enter the Octagon with Vicente Luque at UFC 265 on Saturday, August 7, 2021. The line has Chiesa coming in at +102 while Luque is coming in at -124.

Michael "Maverick" Chiesa will be looking to add a victory to his total of 18-4-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 75". Vicente "The Silent Assassin" Luque stands in at 5'11" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 20-7-1. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 75". Regarding significant strikes, Michael Chiesa lands 1.89 per minute and Vicente Luque is landing 5.74 significant strikes per minute. Chiesa is landing 40% of the significant strikes he attempts while Luque connects on 54%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Maverick" absorbs 1.71 significant strikes per min and "The Silent Assassin" absorbs 5.78. Chiesa also stops 54% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Luque is able to deflect 52% of the strikes thrown his way.

UFC 265	Michael Chiesa	Vicente Luque
Opening Odds	+102	-124
Record	18-4-0	20-7-1
Average Fight Time	9:59	8:33
Height	6'1"	5'11"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	75"	75"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	1.89	5.74
Striking Accuracy	40%	54%

Concerning wrestling, Michael Chiesa is the more effective wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 3.60 times per 15 minutes. Chiesa is getting his opponent to the mat on 52% of his attempts and is stopping 68% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Luque is getting his opponent to the mat on 50% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 65% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Chiesa goes for 0.9 finishes per 15 min while Luque tries 0.8 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Michael Chiesa squared up with Neil Magny and ended up getting the victory via unanimous decision in round 5. Magny landed 52 of 96 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Chiesa finished this fight landing 93 of 125 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Magny landed 12 of 50, which gave him a rate of 24%. He finished the fight landing 7 of 42 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Chiesa ended up landing 46% of his significant strikes by landing 24 of 52. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 19 of 43 to the head. 66% of the significant strikes connected on by Magny and 41% of them landed by Chiesa were done at distance.

In the last bout for Vicente Luque, he battled Tyron Woodley and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of d'arce choke in round 1. Woodley ended up connecting on 44% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Luque landed 64% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Luque landed 75% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 25 of 33. He connected on 15 of 22 significant strikes directed at the head. Woodley ended up connecting on 18 of 40 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 7 of 27 directed at the head. In terms of the strikes he fired off in this contest, Woodley landed 21 of 43 and Luque landed 41 of 49 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Song Yadong squares up against Casey Kenney. Yadong steps into the cage with a mark of 16-5-1. The 23-year-old weighs 135 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 67". Kenney stands 5'7" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 16-3-1. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 68". In the grappling category, Song Yadong takes his opponents down 0.59 times per 15 min while Casey Kenney gets a takedown 1.10 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Yadong connects on 4.35 strikes/minute and landing 42% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Casey Kenney, who is landing 42% of his attempted strikes and lands an average of 4.81 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Rafael Fiziev is set to encounter Bobby Green. Green holds a career mark of 27-11-1. The 34-year-old weighs 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Fiziev comes in at 5'8" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The switch fighter has a career record of 9-1-0. The 28-year-old stretches 71". Regarding wrestling, Bobby Green prevents 72% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown attempts on 41% of his tries. Fiziev is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of the attempts he tries and stops 70% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Green absorbs 3.32 strikes per minute and he dishes out 5.17 strikes/min. Fiziev, on the other side, is absorbing 4.17 strikes per min and is connecting on 4.67 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Michael Chiesa (+102)

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Michael Chiesa vs Vicente Luque Pick, 8/7/2021 Predictions UFC 265 Odds

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