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Max Holloway vs Yair Rodriguez Pick, 11/13/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 42 Odds

by Tony Sink - 11/8/2021

ufc picks Max Holloway predictions best bet odds

Max Holloway vs Yair Rodriguez

UFC Vegas 42

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, November 13, 2021

Max Holloway will face off against Yair Rodriguez at UFC Vegas 42 on Saturday, November 13, 2021. The moneyline has Holloway priced at -630 while Rodriguez is at +450.

Max "Blessed" Holloway looks to add a victory to his career total of 22-6-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 69". Yair "El Pantera" Rodriguez stands in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 14-2-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach 71". Regarding significant strikes, Max Holloway connects on 7.26 per min and Yair Rodriguez lands 4.33 significant strikes per min. Holloway lands 46% of the significant strikes he tries and Rodriguez is connecting on 45%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Blessed" allows 4.58 significant strikes per min and "El Pantera" takes 3.13. Holloway also curbs 60% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Rodriguez is able to deflect 57% of the shots thrown his way.

 

UFC Vegas 42 Max Holloway Yair Rodriguez
Opening Odds -630 +450
Record 22-6-0 14-2-0
Average Fight Time 15:02 13:17
Height 5'11" 5'11"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 69" 71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.26 4.33
Striking Accuracy 46% 45%

 

In the grappling category, Max Holloway is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.21 times per 15 min. Holloway is finishing his takedown attempts on 71% of his tries and thwarting 84% of all takedown attempts. Rodriguez is taking his opponents to the mat on 29% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 63% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of going for the submission, Holloway is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.3 subs per 3 rounds while Rodriguez looks to get 0.9 subs per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Max Holloway squared up with Calvin Kattar and ended up getting the victory in the fight via unanimous decision in round 5. Kattar landed 134 of 284 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Holloway finished this fight landing 447 of 746 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Kattar landed 133 of 283, which means his percentage was 47%. He finished the fight landing 99 of 237 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Holloway ended up landing 59% of his significant strikes by landing 445 of 744. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 274 of 553 to the head. 96% of the significant strikes landed by Kattar and 98% of them connected on by Holloway were thrown at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Yair Rodriguez, he squared up with Jeremy Stephens and got a win for the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Stephens landed 38% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Rodriguez connected on 56% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Rodriguez ended up connecting on 56% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 96 of 170. He landed 65 of 127 significant strikes aimed at the head. Stephens ended up connecting on 50 of 95 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 35 of 76 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes thrown in that contest, Stephens was 99 of 156 and Rodriguez landed 136 of 213 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Ben Rothwell faces off with Marcos Rogerio de Lima. Rothwell steps into the cage with a mark of 39-13-0. The 40-year-old steps on the scale at 265 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78". Rogerio de Lima stands 6'1" and records a weight of 253 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 18-8-1. The 36-year-old reaches 75". In the grappling category, Ben Rothwell takes his opponents to the mat 0.68 times per 3 rds and Marcos Rogerio de Lima is averaging a takedown 1.14 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Rothwell is landing 3.71 strikes/minute and connecting on 42% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Marcos Rogerio de Lima, who is landing 54% of the strikes he has attempted and connects for an average of 3.24 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Ovince Saint Preux is set to square up against Philipe Lins. Lins comes into this bout with a mark of 14-5-0. The 36-year-old weighs 240 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 78". Saint Preux comes in at 6'3" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a record of 25-16-0. The 38-year-old stretches 80". In terms of wrestling, Philipe Lins is able to thwart 20% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents to the mat on 20% of the times he tries. Saint Preux is finishing his takedowns on 38% of his tries and is able to stop 66% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Lins is taking 3.68 strikes per minute while he dishes out 2.66 per minute. Saint Preux, moreover, is taking 3.07 strikes/minute and dishes out 2.65 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Max Holloway (-630)

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