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Matthew Semelsberger vs Jason Witt Pick, 3/13/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 21 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 3/10/2021

Matthew Semelsberger UFC

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Matthew Semelsberger vs Jason Witt

UFC Vegas 21

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 13, 2021

Matthew Semelsberger will take on Jason Witt at UFC Vegas 21 on Saturday, March 13, 2021. The opener has Semelsberger at -120 while Witt is priced at +100.

Matthew "Semi The Jedi" Semelsberger walks into the Octagon with a mark of 7-2-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and measures 6'1". The switch fighter has an arm span of 75". Jason "The Vanilla Gorilla" Witt stands 5'10" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 18-6-0. The 34-year-old has an arm span of 70". When talking about significant strikes, Matthew Semelsberger lands 7.87 per minute and Jason Witt connects on 2.77 significant strikes per min. Semelsberger lands 50% of the significant strikes he tries and Witt lands 61%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Semi The Jedi" allows 5.13 significant strikes per minute while "The Vanilla Gorilla" takes 2.39. Semelsberger also prevents 57% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Witt thwarts 26% of the shots thrown his way.

 

UFC Vegas 21 Matthew Semelsberger Jason Witt
Opening Odds -120 +100
Record 7-2-0 18-6-0
Average Fight Time 15:00 3:59
Height 6'1" 5'10"
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 75" 70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.87 2.77
Striking Accuracy 50% 61%

 

In the wrestling category, Matthew Semelsberger is the lesser skilled grappler as he scores a takedown 2.00 times per 15 minutes. Semelsberger is taking his opponents to the canvas on 100% of the times he tries and is defending 70% of all takedowns attempted on him. Witt is finishing his takedowns on 50% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 50% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding submissions, Semelsberger is less likely to go for the finish by going for 1.0 finish per 15 min while Witt looks to get 1.9 subs per 3 rounds.

In his previous fight, Matthew Semelsberger fought Carlton Minus and ended up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Minus landed 89 of 197 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Semelsberger finished this fight landing 122 of 237 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Minus landed 77 of 182, giving him a percentage of 42%. He landed 61 of 165 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Semelsberger ended up landing 50% of his significant strikes by connecting on 118 of 233. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 79 of 186 aimed at the head. 98% of the significant strikes connected on by Minus and 90% of them connected on by Semelsberger were tallied at distance.

In the last fight for Jason Witt, he battled Cole Williams and got a win for the night by an arm triangle in round 2. Williams landed 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Witt ended up landing 25% of his significant strikes at distance. Witt ended up landing 64% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 20 of 31. He connected on 17 of 28 significant strikes directed at the head. Williams connected on 1 of 5 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 1 of 4 to the head. In terms of total strikes that he threw in that fight, Williams connected on 23 of 27 while Witt was 50 of 70 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Angela Hill battles Ashley Yoder. Hill comes into this bout holding a record of 12-9-0. The 36-year-old tips the scales at 115 lbs and stands 5'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 64". Yoder measures 5'7" and steps on the scale at 115 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to her career total of 8-6-0. The 33-year-old extends her reach 69". In terms of takedowns, Angela Hill takes her opponents to the mat 0.41 times per 15 minutes and Ashley Yoder takes her opponents to the mat 1.25 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Hill lands 5.70 strikes per min and lands 49% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Ashley Yoder, who connects on 41% of the strikes she attempts and is connecting on 2.81 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when JJ Aldrich is set to face off against Cortney Casey. Casey walks into the cage holding a mark of 9-8-0. The 33-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Aldrich stands in at 5'5" and weighs 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a record of 8-4-0. The 28-year-old stretches 67". Concerning wrestling, Cortney Casey is stopping 37% of her opponents takedown tries and is getting her opponent to the mat on 30% of her tries. Aldrich is taking her opponents to the mat on 25% of her tries and is able to deflect 53% of all takedown tries against her. In the matter of striking, Casey is absorbing 4.31 strikes/min while she is landing 4.40 per minute. Aldrich, on the other hand, takes 4.68 strikes per min and dishes out 3.88 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Jason Witt (+100)

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