Matt Brown vs Dhiego Lima Pick, 6/19/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 29 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 6/14/2021

Matt Brown vs Dhiego Lima

UFC Vegas 29

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, June 19, 2021

Matt Brown will face off against Dhiego Lima at UFC Vegas 29 on Saturday, June 19, 2021. The moneyline has Brown at +150 while Lima is priced at -170.

Matt "The Immortal" Brown comes into this bout with a mark of 24-18-0. The 40-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Dhiego Lima stands in at 6'2" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 17-7-0. The 32-year-old reaches 75". In terms of significant strikes, Matt Brown connects on 3.69 per min while Dhiego Lima connects on 3.14 significant strikes per min. Brown is landing 54% of the significant strikes he attempts while Lima lands 38%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "The Immortal" allows 2.67 significant strikes per minute and Lima absorbs 3.93. Brown also stops 55% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Lima deflects 59% of them.

UFC Vegas 29	Matt Brown	Dhiego Lima
Opening Odds	+150	-170
Record	24-18-0	17-7-0
Average Fight Time	9:14	8:43
Height	6'0"	6'2"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	75"	75"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.69	3.14
Striking Accuracy	54%	38%

In the wrestling category, Matt Brown is the more competent wrestler as he scores a takedown 1.56 times per 3 rounds. Brown is finishing his takedown attempts on 44% of his attempts and stuffing 63% of all takedown attempts. Lima is taking his opponents down on 42% of the takedowns he tries and defending 73% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Brown is the more skilled technician by trying 1.4 finishes per 15 min while Lima looks to get 0.7 finishes per 15 minutes.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Matt Brown squared up with Carlos Condit and was on the losing end of this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Condit landed 157 of 209 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Brown ended the night having landed 37 of 52 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Condit landed 39 of 88, which gave him a rate of 44%. He finished the fight landing 30 of 73 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Brown landed 75% of his significant strikes by connecting on 28 of 37. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 13 of 22 aimed at the head. 56% of the significant strikes connected on by Condit and 39% of them landed by Brown were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Dhiego Lima, he fought Belal Muhammad and ended up walking away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Muhammad ended up landing 91% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Lima landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Lima ended up landing 33% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 69 of 203. He landed 26 of 156 significant strikes to the head. Muhammad landed 129 of 264 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 109 of 232 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Muhammad connected on 136 of 284 and Lima ended up landing 70 of 206 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Julian Erosa goes up against SeungWoo Choi. Erosa comes into this fight with a record of 25-9-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 74". Choi measures 6'0" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 9-3-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 74". In terms of takedowns, Julian Erosa gets his opposition to the mat 1.32 times per 3 rds while SeungWoo Choi takes his opponents to the mat 1.03 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Erosa lands an average of 5.07 strikes per min and is connecting on 47% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is SeungWoo Choi, who is connecting on 41% of his attempted strikes and connects on 3.17 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Roque Martinez is set to battle Josh Parisian. Parisian will be looking to add a victory to his total of 13-4-0. The 31-year-old is weighing in at 265 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 79". Martinez comes in at 5'10" and records a weight of 250 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 15-7-2. The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 72". Concerning grappling, Josh Parisian is preventing 66% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown tries on 40% of his tries. Martinez is taking his opponents down on 50% of his tries and defends against 16% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Parisian takes 7.51 strikes per min and he is connecting on 7.46 per min. Martinez, at the same time, takes 4.68 strikes per min and is connecting on 2.67 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Matt Brown (+150)

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Matt Brown vs Dhiego Lima Pick, 6/19/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 29 Odds

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