Marlon Moraes vs Merab Dvalishvili Pick, 9/25/2021 Predictions UFC 266 Odds

by Tony Sink - 9/21/2021

ufc picks Merab Dvalishvili predictions best bet odds

Marlon Moraes vs Merab Dvalishvili

UFC 266

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, September 25, 2021

Marlon Moraes will battle Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 266 on Saturday, September 25, 2021. The line has Moraes at +198 while Dvalishvili is at -250.

Marlon "Magic" Moraes steps into the cage holding a mark of 23-8-1. The 33-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 67". Merab "The Machine" Dvalishvili stands in at 5'6" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 13-4-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 68". With respect to significant strikes, Marlon Moraes lands 3.38 per min and Merab Dvalishvili is landing 4.02 significant strikes per min. Moraes is landing 39% of the significant strikes he throws while Dvalishvili lands 39%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "Magic" takes 4.11 significant strikes per min while "The Machine" takes 2.22. Moraes also deflects 56% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Dvalishvili stops 61% of the shots thrown.

UFC 266	Marlon Moraes	Merab Dvalishvili
Opening Odds	+198	-250
Record	23-8-1	13-4-0
Average Fight Time	8:18	15:00
Height	5'6"	5'6"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	67"	68"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.38	4.02
Striking Accuracy	39%	39%

Regarding grappling, Marlon Moraes is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.00 times per 15 minutes. Moraes is taking his opponents to the canvas on 41% of his attempts and stopping 66% of the takedowns his opponents try. Dvalishvili is scoring a takedown on 43% of his takedown tries and thwarting 78% of the tries against him. Regarding submissions, Moraes FALSE by attempting 0.4 subs per 15 min while Dvalishvili looks to get 0.4 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Marlon Moraes went up against Rob Font and ended up walking away in defeat by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Font ended up landing 33 of 41 total strikes that he let go. Moraes walked away from this fight having landed 12 of 16 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Font landed 30 of 37, giving him a percentage of 81%. He finished the fight landing 27 of 34 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Moraes ended up landing 75% of his significant strikes by connecting on 9 of 12. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 8 of 10 pointed at the head. 43% of the significant strikes connected on by Font and 88% of them connected on by Moraes were thrown at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Merab Dvalishvili, he faced off with Cody Stamann and ended up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Stamann ended up connecting on 85% of his significant strikes at distance while Dvalishvili connected on 90% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Dvalishvili landed 36% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 71 of 192. He ended up landing 49 of 158 significant strikes aimed at the head. Stamann connected on 48 of 134 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 27 of 102 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Stamann landed 73 of 163 while Dvalishvili ended up connecting on 178 of 306 total strikes.

Other fights to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Dan Hooker encounters Nasrat Haqparast. Hooker looks to add a win to his career record of 20-10-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 75". Haqparast comes in at 5'10" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 13-3-0. The 26-year-old stretches 72". In the grappling category, Dan Hooker gets a takedown 0.72 times per 3 rounds while Nasrat Haqparast is able to score a takedown 0.18 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Hooker connects for an average of 4.95 strikes/min and lands 48% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Nasrat Haqparast, who connects on 47% of the strikes he has thrown and lands an average of 5.81 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Chris Daukaus is set to square up in the Octagon against Shamil Abdurakhimov. Abdurakhimov steps into the cage with a mark of 20-5-0. The 40-year-old steps on the scale at 235 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 76". Daukaus comes in at 6'3" and is weighing in at 250 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 11-3-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 76". Concerning wrestling, Shamil Abdurakhimov stops 47% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 24% of his attempts. Daukaus is taking his opponents to the mat on 20% of the attempts he tries and is able to thwart 80% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Abdurakhimov is taking 2.45 strikes/minute and he is landing 2.45 per min. Daukaus, moreover, takes 3.22 strikes/minute and is connecting on 11.78 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Merab Dvalishvili (-250)

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Marlon Moraes vs Merab Dvalishvili Pick, 9/25/2021 Predictions UFC 266 Odds

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