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Marion Reneau vs Miesha Tate Pick, 7/17/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 31 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/12/2021

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Marion Reneau vs Miesha Tate

UFC Vegas 31

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 17, 2021

Marion Reneau will enter the Octagon against Miesha Tate at UFC Vegas 31 on Saturday, July 17, 2021. The opening line has Reneau priced at +102 while Tate is coming in at -124.

Marion "The Belizean Bruiser" Reneau holds a mark of 9-7-1. The 44-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Miesha "Cupcake" Tate measures in at 5'6" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 18-7-0. The 34-year-old extends her reach 66". When talking about significant strikes, Marion Reneau is connecting on 3.29 per minute and Miesha Tate lands 1.93 significant strikes per minute. Reneau is landing 41% of the significant strikes she tries and Tate is landing 41%. In terms of defending themselves, "The Belizean Bruiser" absorbs 3.37 significant strikes per minute while "Cupcake" takes 2.71. Reneau also deflects 61% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Tate deflects 50% of the shots thrown in her direction.

 

UFC Vegas 31 Marion Reneau Miesha Tate
Opening Odds +102 -124
Record 9-7-1 18-7-0
Average Fight Time 13:13 11:59
Height 5'6" 5'6"
Weight 135 lbs 135 lbs
Reach 68" 66"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.29 1.93
Striking Accuracy 41% 41%

 

In the grappling category, Marion Reneau is not as efficient of a wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 0.66 times per 15 minutes. Reneau is finishing her takedown attempts on 63% of her tries and is defending 50% of the takedowns her opponents try. Tate is scoring a takedown on 31% of her takedown tries and is stuffing 52% of the attempts against her. When it comes to submission attempts, Reneau is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.8 submissions per 3 rds while Tate looks to get 1.6 submissions per 15 min.

In her previous fight, Marion Reneau fought Macy Chiasson and ended up losing the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Chiasson landed 92 of 184 total strikes attempted in that fight. Reneau walked away from this fight having landed 59 of 93 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Chiasson ended up landing 51 of 138, which gave her a rate of 36%. She finished the fight landing 29 of 110 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Reneau landed 47% of her significant strikes by connecting on 30 of 63. Out of those significant strikes, she landed 14 of 40 to the head. 70% of the significant strikes connected on by Chiasson and 83% of them landed by Reneau were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Miesha Tate, she battled Raquel Pennington and was on the losing end of this fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Pennington connected on 44% of her significant strikes at distance while Tate ended up landing 52% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Tate landed 32% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 21 of 65. She connected on 8 of 34 significant strikes directed at the head. Pennington ended up landing 43 of 77 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she ended up landing 31 of 65 to the head. In relation to the strikes she fired off in this contest, Pennington ended up landing 111 of 156 and Tate was 48 of 93 of all the strikes she threw.

Other fights to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Amanda Lemos meets Montserrat Ruiz. Lemos steps into the cage with a record of 9-1-1. The 34-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and comes in at 5'4". The southpaw fighter stretches 65". Ruiz stands 5'0" and will fight at 115 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 10-1-0. The 28-year-old extends her reach 61". Regarding grappling, Amanda Lemos takes her opponents to the mat 1.98 times per 15 min while Montserrat Ruiz is able to score a takedown 4.00 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Lemos is landing 6.21 strikes/minute and connecting on 64% of her attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Montserrat Ruiz, who connects on 36% of the strikes she attempts and lands an average of 1.00 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Thiago Moises is set to fight Islam Makhachev. Makhachev walks into the cage with a mark of 19-1-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter stretches 70". Moises measures in at 5'9" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 15-4-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 70". Regarding wrestling, Islam Makhachev is preventing 93% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown tries on 68% of his tries. Moises is finishing his takedowns on 33% of the attempts he tries and is able to deflect 63% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the matter of striking, Makhachev is taking 0.77 strikes per min and he is dishing out 2.00 strikes/min. Moises, in contrast, takes 3.88 strikes per min and is landing 2.85 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Marion Reneau (+102)

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