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Marion Reneau vs Macy Chiasson Pick, 3/20/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 22 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 3/16/2021

Macy Chiasson UFC

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Marion Reneau vs Macy Chiasson

UFC Vegas 22

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 20, 2021

Marion Reneau will battle Macy Chiasson at UFC Vegas 22 on Saturday, March 20, 2021. The moneyline has Reneau coming in at +165 while Chiasson is priced at -190.

Marion "The Belizean Bruiser" Reneau walks into the cage holding a record of 9-6-1. The 43-year-old weighs 135 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 68". Macy Chiasson measures in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her record of 7-1-0. The 29-year-old reaches 72". Concerning significant strikes, Marion Reneau lands 3.42 per minute while Macy Chiasson lands 4.40 significant strikes per min. Reneau is landing 41% of the significant strikes she tries while Chiasson connects on 53%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "The Belizean Bruiser" absorbs 3.37 significant strikes per min and Chiasson takes 2.22. Reneau also prevents 60% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way while Chiasson deflects 44% of the shots thrown.

 

UFC Vegas 22 Marion Reneau Macy Chiasson
Opening Odds +165 -190
Record 9-6-1 7-1-0
Average Fight Time 13:03 9:16
Height 5'6" 5'11"
Weight 135 lbs 135 lbs
Reach 68" 72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.42 4.40
Striking Accuracy 41% 53%

 

In terms of takedowns, Marion Reneau is not as efficient of a wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 0.52 times per 15 minutes. Reneau is getting her opponent to the mat on 71% of the times she tries and is stopping 51% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Chiasson is getting her opponent to the mat on 16% of the takedowns she attempts and stuffing 70% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Reneau is the more experienced of the two fighters by attempting 0.9 finishes per 15 minutes while Chiasson looks to get 0.7 finishes per 15 minutes.

The last time she fought, Marion Reneau faced Raquel Pennington and was on the losing end of this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Pennington landed 118 of 165 total strikes that she let go. Reneau walked away from this fight having landed 81 of 154 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Pennington landed 107 of 154, giving her a percentage of 69%. She ended up landing 54 of 97 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Reneau landed 39% of her significant strikes by connecting on 46 of 117. Out of those significant strikes, she landed 20 of 85 aimed at the head. 47% of the significant strikes landed by Pennington and 47% of them landed by Reneau were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Macy Chiasson, she squared up with Shanna Young and ended up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Young ended up connecting on 60% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance and Chiasson landed 18% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Chiasson ended up landing 51% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 86 of 166. She ended up connecting on 48 of 120 significant strikes to the head. Young landed 40 of 71 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she ended up connecting on 32 of 57 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes that she threw in that fight, Young connected on 50 of 83 and Chiasson connected on 154 of 253 of all the strikes she threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Julia Avila goes up against Julija Stoliarenko. Avila has a career record of 8-2-0. The 32-year-old weighs 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 68". Stoliarenko stands 5'7" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 9-5-1. The 27-year-old extends her reach 66". Regarding grappling, Julia Avila is able to score a takedown 0.49 times per 3 rds and Julija Stoliarenko takes her opponents to the canvas 0.30 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Avila is connecting on 3.10 strikes per minute and is connecting on 41% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Julija Stoliarenko, who connects on 34% of the strikes she has attempted and lands 2.10 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Kevin Holland is set to fight Derek Brunson. Brunson walks into the cage with a record of 21-7-0. The 37-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and measures 6'1". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 77". Holland measures 6'3" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 21-5-0. The 28-year-old reaches 81". Regarding wrestling, Derek Brunson prevents 100% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown tries on 31% of his tries. Holland is finishing his takedowns on 42% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 52% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Brunson takes 2.95 strikes per min while he dishes out 3.77 per min. Holland, on the other hand, is absorbing 2.77 strikes per min and is landing 4.74 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Marion Reneau (+165)

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