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Free Picks » UFC Picks » Manel Kape vs Matheus Nicolau Pick, 3/13/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 21 Odds

Manel Kape vs Matheus Nicolau Pick, 3/13/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 21 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/10/2021

Manel Kape UFC

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Manel Kape vs Matheus Nicolau

UFC Vegas 21

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 13, 2021

Manel Kape will enter the Octagon against Matheus Nicolau at UFC Vegas 21 on Saturday, March 13, 2021. The opener has Kape coming in at -150 while Nicolau is priced at +130.

Manel "StarBoy" Kape will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 15-5-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'5". The southpaw fighter reaches 68". Matheus Nicolau measures in at 5'6" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 15-3-1. The 28-year-old reaches 66". Regarding significant strikes, Manel Kape connects on 3.27 per min and Matheus Nicolau is connecting on 3.83 significant strikes per min. Kape is landing 53% of the significant strikes he attempts and Nicolau is connecting on 51%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "StarBoy" absorbs 4.93 significant strikes per min and Nicolau takes 2.43. Kape also curbs 50% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Nicolau is able to stop 70% of the shots thrown his way.

 

UFC Vegas 21 Manel Kape Matheus Nicolau
Opening Odds -150 +130
Record 15-5-0 15-3-1
Average Fight Time 15:00 11:49
Height 5'5" 5'6"
Weight 125 lbs 125 lbs
Reach 68" 66"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.27 3.83
Striking Accuracy 53% 51%

 

Concerning grappling, Manel Kape is the better grappler as he is able to score a takedown 2.00 times per 3 rds. Kape is taking his opponents to the canvas on 28% of his tries and stopping 80% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Nicolau is finishing his takedowns on 66% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 80% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of submission attempts, Kape is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.5 finishes per 15 min while Nicolau attempts 1.6 finishes per 15 minutes.

The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Manel Kape fought Alexandre Pantoja and walked away with a loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Pantoja ended up landing 77 of 152 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Kape finished this fight landing 51 of 94 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Pantoja ended up landing 74 of 149, which gave him a percentage of 49%. He finished the fight landing 27 of 83 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Kape ended up landing 53% of his significant strikes by landing 49 of 91. Of all the significant strikes, he was 36 of 76 to the head. 97% of the significant strikes landed by Pantoja and 100% of them connected on by Kape were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Matheus Nicolau, he faced off with Dustin Ortiz and was on the losing end of this fight by a kick to the head in round 1. Ortiz ended up landing 62% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Nicolau ended up landing 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Nicolau connected on 43% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 7 of 16. He connected on 2 of 8 significant strikes directed at the head. Ortiz ended up connecting on 8 of 43 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 6 of 37 aimed at the head. When discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Ortiz landed 8 of 43 and Nicolau ended up connecting on 7 of 16 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Eryk Anders battles Darren Stewart. Anders walks into the cage holding a record of 13-5-0. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 75". Stewart measures in at 6'0" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 12-6-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 74". In terms of takedowns, Eryk Anders gets a takedown 1.34 times per 3 rounds and Darren Stewart is able to score a takedown 1.56 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Anders lands an average of 3.02 strikes/min and lands 45% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Darren Stewart, who is landing 44% of his attempted strikes and connects on 3.08 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Ray Rodriguez is set to clash with Rani Yahya. Yahya steps into the Octagon with a record of 26-10-1. The 36-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 67". Rodriguez measures in at 5'7" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 16-7-0. The 33-year-old stretches 71". Concerning grappling, Rani Yahya is stopping 24% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the mat on 32% of the times he tries. Rodriguez is taking his opponents down on 50% of his tries and curbs 40% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, Yahya absorbs 1.74 strikes per min and he lands 1.59 strikes/minute. Rodriguez, at the same time, absorbs 5.73 strikes/min and lands 1.24 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Manel Kape (-150)

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