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Makwan Amirkhani vs Lerone Murphy Pick, 10/30/2021 Predictions UFC 267 Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/26/2021

ufc picks Makwan Amirkhani predictions best bet odds

Makwan Amirkhani vs Lerone Murphy

UFC 267

Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, October 30, 2021

Makwan Amirkhani will enter the Octagon with Lerone Murphy at UFC 267 on Saturday, October 30, 2021. The opening moneyline has Amirkhani at +260 while Murphy is priced at -340.

Makwan "Mr. Finland" Amirkhani holds a career mark of 16-6-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and measures 5'10". The southpaw fighter reaches 72". Lerone "The Miracle" Murphy measures 5'9" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 10-0-1. The 30-year-old has a reach of 73". Regarding significant strikes, Makwan Amirkhani connects on 1.40 per minute while Lerone Murphy lands 2.86 significant strikes per minute. Amirkhani is landing 43% of the significant strikes he attempts while Murphy lands 42%. Regarding defense, "Mr. Finland" takes 2.52 significant strikes per minute while "The Miracle" takes 2.07. Amirkhani also prevents 52% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Murphy deflects 63% of the shots thrown his way.

 

UFC 267 Makwan Amirkhani Lerone Murphy
Opening Odds +260 -340
Record 16-6-0 10-0-1
Average Fight Time 10:24 11:26
Height 5'10" 5'9"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 72" 73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 1.40 2.86
Striking Accuracy 43% 42%

 

In terms of takedowns, Makwan Amirkhani is the more skilled grappler as he takes his opponents down 3.61 times per 3 rds. Amirkhani is finishing his takedown attempts on 40% of his attempts and stuffing 57% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Murphy is finishing his takedown attempts on 33% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 41% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Amirkhani is the more apt fighter by trying 1.1 submissions per 3 rounds while Murphy looks to get 0.9 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Makwan Amirkhani fought Kamuela Kirk and ended up losing the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Kirk ended up landing 100 of 143 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Amirkhani ended the night having landed 25 of 56 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Kirk ended up landing 28 of 63, which means his percentage was 44%. He finished the fight landing 8 of 34 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Amirkhani ended up landing 40% of his significant strikes by sticking 20 of 49. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 14 of 40 to the head. 96% of the significant strikes connected on by Kirk and 75% of them landed by Amirkhani were tallied at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Lerone Murphy, he went up against Douglas Silva de Andrade and took home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Andrade ended up connecting on 84% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Murphy ended up connecting on 77% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Murphy landed 41% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 48 of 115. He ended up landing 29 of 92 significant strikes to the head. Andrade ended up landing 39 of 108 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 16 of 74 to the head. In regard to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Andrade connected on 51 of 121 while Murphy was 60 of 131 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Hu Yaozong enters the Octagon against Andre Petroski. Yaozong looks to add a victory to his total of 3-2-0. The 26-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Petroski comes in at 6'0" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The switch fighter has a career mark of 6-2-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 73". When it comes to grappling, Hu Yaozong gets his opposition to the mat 0.40 times per 3 rds and Andre Petroski scores a takedown 4.55 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Yaozong is landing 4.43 strikes/min and connecting on 52% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Andre Petroski, who connects on 57% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 3.48 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Damir Ismagulov is set to encounter Magomed Mustafaev. Mustafaev walks into the Octagon with a mark of 14-4-0. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 71". Ismagulov measures 5'10" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 23-1-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 74". Regarding wrestling, Magomed Mustafaev is stopping 23% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown tries on 50% of his tries. Ismagulov is taking his opponents to the mat on 36% of his tries and stops 90% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Mustafaev is absorbing 2.68 strikes/minute and he is landing 2.59 strikes per min. Ismagulov, on the other hand, is taking 1.90 strikes/min and dishes out 3.75 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Lerone Murphy (-340)

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