Maki Pitolo vs Julian Marquez Pick, 2/13/2021 Predictions UFC 258 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 2/9/2021

Maki Pitolo vs Julian Marquez

UFC 258

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, February 13, 2021

Maki Pitolo will enter the Octagon with Julian Marquez at UFC 258 on Saturday, February 13, 2021. The opening line has Pitolo priced at +145 while Marquez is priced at -165.

Maki "Coconut Bombz" Pitolo will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 13-7-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Julian "The Cuban Missile Crisis" Marquez measures 6'2" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 7-2-0. The 30-year-old reaches 72". In terms of significant strikes, Maki Pitolo is connecting on 4.87 per min and Julian Marquez connects on 3.80 significant strikes per minute. Pitolo is landing 43% of the significant strikes he tries while Marquez connects on 40%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Coconut Bombz" allows 4.00 significant strikes per minute while "The Cuban Missile Crisis" allows 3.33. Pitolo also stops 55% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Marquez is able to deflect 53% of the shots thrown.

UFC 258	Maki Pitolo	Julian Marquez
Opening Odds	+145	-165
Record	13-7-0	7-2-0
Average Fight Time	8:18	10:01
Height	5'10"	6'2"
Weight	185 lbs	185 lbs
Reach	75"	72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.87	3.80
Striking Accuracy	43%	40%

In terms of takedowns, Maki Pitolo is the more capable grappler as he is able to score a takedown 1.45 times per 3 rds. Pitolo is finishing his takedown attempts on 66% of his tries and is stopping 50% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Marquez is taking his opponents to the canvas on 20% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 52% of the attempts against him. In terms of going for the submission, Pitolo is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by trying 0.4 finishes per 15 min while Marquez goes for 3.0 finishes per 3 rounds.

In his last bout, Maki Pitolo fought Impa Kasanganay and walked away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Kasanganay landed 86 of 199 total strikes that he let go. Pitolo walked away from this fight having landed 72 of 174 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Kasanganay landed 85 of 198, which gave him a percentage of 42%. He finished the fight landing 68 of 164 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Pitolo ended up landing 41% of his significant strikes by connecting on 71 of 173. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 54 of 141 aimed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes connected on by Kasanganay and 100% of them connected on by Pitolo were tallied at distance.

In the last fight for Julian Marquez, he fought Alessio Di Chirico and wound up walking away in defeat via split decision in round 3. Chirico ended up landing 96% of his significant strikes at distance and Marquez ended up landing 89% of his significant strikes at distance. Marquez landed 31% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 47 of 147. He connected on 28 of 120 significant strikes to the head. Chirico ended up connecting on 50 of 116 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 30 of 90 to the head. Regarding the strikes he fired off in this contest, Chirico ended up landing 55 of 122 while Marquez connected on 49 of 149 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Jim Miller fights Bobby Green. Miller will be looking to add a win to his career record of 32-15-0. The 37-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and measures 5'8". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 71". Green stands 5'10" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 27-11-1. The 34-year-old stretches 71". When it comes to grappling, Jim Miller gets his opposition to the mat 1.69 times per 3 rds while Bobby Green gets a takedown 1.56 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Miller is connecting on 2.73 strikes per minute and is connecting on 40% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Bobby Green, who is connecting on 51% of the strikes he has tried and is landing 5.17 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Anthony Hernandez is set to square up with Rodolfo Vieira. Vieira comes into this bout holding a record of 7-0-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 73". Hernandez measures in at 6'0" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 7-2-0. The 27-year-old extends his reach 75". Regarding wrestling, Rodolfo Vieira deflects 0% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedowns on 55% of the times he tries. Hernandez is finishing his takedown tries on 66% of the attempts he tries and prevents 85% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Vieira takes 2.18 strikes/minute and he dishes out 1.85 strikes per minute. Hernandez, on the other hand, takes 6.61 strikes per min and is landing 5.03 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Maki Pitolo (+145)

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