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Maki Pitolo vs Dusko Todorovic Pick, 12/4/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 44 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 11/30/2021

ufc picks Maki Pitolo predictions best bet odds

Maki Pitolo vs Dusko Todorovic

UFC Vegas 44

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 4, 2021

Maki Pitolo will enter the Octagon against Dusko Todorovic at UFC Vegas 44 on Saturday, December 4, 2021. The odds have Pitolo priced at +145 while Todorovic is at -165.

Maki "Coconut Bombz" Pitolo steps into the Octagon holding a record of 13-8-0. The 31-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Dusko "Thunder" Todorovic comes in at 6'1" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 10-2-0. The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 74". In terms of significant strikes, Maki Pitolo is landing 4.20 per minute while Dusko Todorovic lands 5.71 significant strikes per min. Pitolo is landing 44% of the significant strikes he throws and Todorovic lands 54%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Coconut Bombz" allows 3.71 significant strikes per min while "Thunder" absorbs 5.18. Pitolo also prevents 56% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Todorovic is able to curb 48% of the shots thrown.

 

UFC Vegas 44 Maki Pitolo Dusko Todorovic
Opening Odds +145 -165
Record 13-8-0 10-2-0
Average Fight Time 9:18 10:46
Height 5'10" 6'1"
Weight 185 lbs 185 lbs
Reach 75" 74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.20 5.71
Striking Accuracy 44% 54%

 

When it comes to grappling, Maki Pitolo is the more skilled grappler as he takes his opponents down 2.42 times per 15 min. Pitolo is taking his opponents to the canvas on 52% of the times he tries and stuffing 55% of the takedowns his opponents try. Todorovic is getting his opponent to the mat on 5% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 50% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to going for the submission, Pitolo is the more skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.5 submissions per 15 min while Todorovic attempts 0.3 submissions per 15 min.

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In his last bout, Maki Pitolo went up against Julian Marquez and ended up taking the loss by way of an anaconda choke in round 3. Marquez landed 61 of 129 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Pitolo ended the night having landed 70 of 110 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Marquez landed 41 of 100, giving him a percentage of 41%. He landed 37 of 94 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Pitolo ended up landing 49% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 32 of 65. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 16 of 46 to the head. 43% of the significant strikes landed by Marquez and 68% of them landed by Pitolo were tallied at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Dusko Todorovic, he went up against Gregory Rodrigues and wound up losing the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Rodrigues ended up connecting on 88% of his significant strikes at distance while Todorovic ended up connecting on 72% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Todorovic connected on 30% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 37 of 120. He ended up connecting on 23 of 103 significant strikes aimed at the head. Rodrigues ended up connecting on 71 of 150 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 49 of 120 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that contest, Rodrigues ended up landing 73 of 153 and Todorovic connected on 46 of 133 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Manel Kape squares up against Zhalgas Zhumagulov. Kape looks to add a win to his record of 16-6-0. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'5". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 68". Zhumagulov comes in at 5'4" and will fight at 125 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 14-5-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 66". In terms of takedowns, Manel Kape is averaging a takedown 0.86 times per 15 minutes while Zhalgas Zhumagulov takes his opponents down 1.40 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Kape connects for an average of 3.71 strikes/minute and landing 47% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Zhalgas Zhumagulov, who is landing 49% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 4.21 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Jeremiah Wells is set to square up against Jake Matthews. Matthews comes into this fight with a mark of 17-5-0. The 27-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Wells measures in at 5'9" and weighs 170 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 9-2-1. The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 74". In the category of takedowns, Jake Matthews is able to deflect 66% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedowns on 41% of his attempts. Wells is finishing his takedowns on 10% of his tries and is able to thwart 90% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Matthews absorbs 2.16 strikes/minute while he is connecting on 3.03 per minute. Wells, at the same time, takes 2.73 strikes/minute and is dealing 3.82 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Dusko Todorovic (-165)

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