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Livinha Souza vs Amanda Lemos Pick, 3/6/2021 Predictions UFC 259 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 3/2/2021

Amanda Lemos UFC

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Livinha Souza vs Amanda Lemos

UFC 259

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 6, 2021

Livinha Souza will enter the Octagon against Amanda Lemos at UFC 259 on Saturday, March 6, 2021. The odds have Souza at +190 while Lemos is priced at -230.

Livinha "The Brazilian Gangsta" Souza comes into this bout with a record of 14-2-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 115 lbs and measures in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 63". Amanda Lemos measures 5'4" and weighs in at 115 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 8-1-1. The 33-year-old extends her reach 65". With respect to significant strikes, Livinha Souza is connecting on 2.20 per minute and Amanda Lemos is landing 5.98 significant strikes per minute. Souza connects on 46% of the significant strikes she attempts and Lemos lands 64%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "The Brazilian Gangsta" allows 3.02 significant strikes per min and Lemos absorbs 6.09. Souza also deflects 65% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Lemos is able to deflect 44% of the shots thrown.

 

UFC 259 Livinha Souza Amanda Lemos
Opening Odds +190 -230
Record 14-2-0 8-1-1
Average Fight Time 11:35 8:52
Height 5'3" 5'4"
Weight 115 lbs 115 lbs
Reach 63" 65"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.20 5.98
Striking Accuracy 46% 64%

 

When it comes to wrestling, Livinha Souza is the more effective wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 2.59 times per 15 minutes. Souza is finishing her takedown attempts on 44% of the times she tries and is defending 40% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Lemos is getting her opponent to the mat on 70% of the takedowns she tries and thwarting 70% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Souza is the more skilled technician by going for 1.3 subs per 3 rds while Lemos attempts 0.6 subs per 15 min.

The last time she stepped into the Octagon, Livinha Souza went up against Ashley Yoder and ended up getting the victory in the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Yoder ended up landing 89 of 176 of the strikes she threw in total in this fight. Souza ended the night having landed 70 of 95 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Yoder ended up landing 32 of 114, which means her percentage was 28%. She landed 23 of 92 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Souza ended up landing 65% of her significant strikes by landing 46 of 70. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she landed 15 of 33 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Yoder and 78% of them landed by Souza were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Amanda Lemos, she battled Inoue Mizuki and wound up getting the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Mizuki connected on 59% of the significant strikes she took from distance and Lemos ended up landing 57% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Lemos connected on 64% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 83 of 129. She connected on 51 of 92 significant strikes aimed at the head. Mizuki ended up landing 57 of 94 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she connected on 30 of 62 to the head. Regarding total strikes that she threw in that fight, Mizuki ended up connecting on 138 of 181 while Lemos was 102 of 150 of all the strikes she threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Jan Blachowicz opposes Israel Adesanya. Blachowicz looks to add a victory to his record of 27-8-0. The 38-year-old weighs 205 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 78". Adesanya comes in at 6'4" and weighs 185 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 20-0-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 80". Concerning takedowns, Jan Blachowicz scores a takedown 1.10 times per 15 min while Israel Adesanya scores a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Blachowicz is connecting on 3.49 strikes per min and landing 48% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Israel Adesanya, who is connecting on 50% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 4.10 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Aljamain Sterling is set to face off with Petr Yan. Yan holds a career record of 15-1-0. The 28-year-old weighs 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The switch fighter has a reach of 67". Sterling stands in at 5'7" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 19-3-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 71". Regarding takedowns, Petr Yan defends against 88% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 52% of his attempts. Sterling is taking his opponents to the mat on 29% of his tries and prevents 51% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Yan absorbs 3.25 strikes/min and he lands 6.32 strikes per minute. Sterling, notwithstanding, is absorbing 1.94 strikes/min and connects on 4.82 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Amanda Lemos (-230)

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