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Leonardo Santos, Grant Dawson, UFC Vegas 22 Picks, UFC Odds, Predictions

by Josh Schonwald - 3/16/2021

grant dawson ufc

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Leonardo Santos vs Grant Dawson

UFC Vegas 22

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 20, 2021

Leonardo Santos will face off against Grant Dawson at UFC Vegas 22 on Saturday, March 20, 2021. The odds have Santos at +175 while Dawson is priced at -210.

Leonardo Santos looks to add a win to his career record of 18-4-1. The 41-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands 6'0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Grant "KGD" Dawson stands 5'10" and will fight at 145 lbs. The switch fighter has a record of 16-1-0. The 27-year-old reaches 72". Regarding significant strikes, Leonardo Santos is connecting on 2.76 per min while Grant Dawson connects on 3.50 significant strikes per minute. Santos is landing 44% of the significant strikes he attempts and Dawson lands 47%. In terms of defending in the cage, Santos allows 2.71 significant strikes per min and "KGD" takes 2.13. Santos also prevents 60% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Dawson deflects 50% of the strikes thrown his way.

 

UFC Vegas 22 Leonardo Santos Grant Dawson
Opening Odds +175 -210
Record 18-4-1 16-1-0
Average Fight Time 10:22 10:04
Height 6'0" 5'10"
Weight 155 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 75" 72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.76 3.50
Striking Accuracy 44% 47%

 

In the grappling category, Leonardo Santos is the lesser skilled wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 1.09 times per 15 min. Santos is scoring a takedown on 27% of his attempts and stuffing 88% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Dawson is scoring a takedown on 45% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 33% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Santos is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by going for 0.4 finishes per 15 min while Dawson attempts 2.1 finishes per 15 minutes.

In his last fight, Leonardo Santos faced Roman Bogatov and wound up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Bogatov landed 81 of 155 total strikes that he let go. Santos ended the night having landed 116 of 181 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Bogatov ended up landing 50 of 117, which means his percentage was 42%. He landed 24 of 82 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Santos ended up landing 55% of his significant strikes by connecting on 66 of 119. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 56 of 106 aimed at the head. 74% of the significant strikes landed by Bogatov and 63% of them connected on by Santos were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Grant Dawson, he fought Nad Narimani and wound up taking home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Narimani landed 90% of his significant strikes at distance while Dawson connected on 90% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Dawson landed 46% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 53 of 115. He ended up connecting on 25 of 74 significant strikes directed at the head. Narimani connected on 31 of 76 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 17 of 59 to the head. Regarding total strikes that he threw in that fight, Narimani landed 57 of 105 and Dawson ended up connecting on 136 of 218 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Trevin Giles squares up with Roman Dolidze. Giles will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 13-2-0. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter stretches 74". Dolidze measures in at 6'2" and weighs 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 8-0-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 76". When it comes to grappling, Trevin Giles scores a takedown 1.45 times per 3 rds while Roman Dolidze takes his opponents down 2.34 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Giles is landing 3.57 strikes per minute and lands 57% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Roman Dolidze, who tags the opposition on 53% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 3.64 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when JP Buys is set to fight Bruno Silva. Silva walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 10-5-2. The 31-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Buys comes in at 5'5" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 9-2-0. The 24-year-old has a reach of 67". Regarding takedowns, Bruno Silva curbs 61% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is getting his opponent to the mat on 30% of his tries. Buys is taking his opponents down on 60% of his tries and curbs 40% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the matter of striking, Silva is taking 3.51 strikes per minute while he deals 2.60 per minute. Buys, notwithstanding, is taking 2.02 strikes/min and lands 2.99 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Grant Dawson (-210)

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