Kevin Lee vs Daniel Rodriguez Pick, 8/28/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 35 Odds

Kevin Lee vs Daniel Rodriguez

UFC Vegas 35

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, August 28, 2021

Kevin Lee will enter the Octagon with Daniel Rodriguez at UFC Vegas 35 on Saturday, August 28, 2021. The opening line has Lee at -150 while Rodriguez is at +122.

Kevin "The Motown Phenom" Lee walks into the Octagon with a mark of 18-6-0. The 28-year-old weighs 170 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 77". Daniel "D-Rod" Rodriguez comes in at 6'1" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a record of 15-2-0. The 34-year-old has an arm span of 74". Regarding significant strikes, Kevin Lee is connecting on 3.90 per minute while Daniel Rodriguez connects on 8.07 significant strikes per min. Lee connects on 42% of the significant strikes he throws while Rodriguez is landing 48%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "The Motown Phenom" absorbs 3.23 significant strikes per min and "D-Rod" takes 5.71. Lee also stops 51% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Rodriguez stops 56% of the strikes thrown his way.

Regarding takedowns, Kevin Lee is the more productive grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 3.21 times per 3 rds. Lee is finishing his takedown attempts on 43% of his attempts and is stopping 75% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Rodriguez is taking his opponents down on 55% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 83% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Lee is the more experienced of the two fighters by attempting 0.8 finishes per 3 rds while Rodriguez tries 0.2 finishes per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Kevin Lee fought Charles Oliveira and ended up losing the fight via guillotine choke in round 3. Oliveira ended up landing 51 of 73 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Lee ended the night having landed 61 of 100 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Oliveira ended up landing 43 of 65, which gave him a percentage of 66%. He landed 28 of 49 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Lee landed 51% of his significant strikes by sticking 41 of 80. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 35 of 74 to the head. 81% of the significant strikes landed by Oliveira and 75% of them connected on by Lee were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for Daniel Rodriguez, he squared up with Preston Parsons and wound up taking home the win by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Parsons connected on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Rodriguez connected on 84% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Rodriguez connected on 54% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 45 of 83. He ended up landing 36 of 72 significant strikes directed at the head. Parsons connected on 23 of 43 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 14 of 33 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that contest, Parsons landed 24 of 44 and Rodriguez landed 46 of 84 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Makhmud Muradov takes on Gerald Meerschaert. Muradov holds a career record of 25-6-0. The 31-year-old weighs 185 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Meerschaert measures 6'1" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 32-14-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 77". In terms of takedowns, Makhmud Muradov is averaging a takedown 0.36 times per 15 min and Gerald Meerschaert scores a takedown 2.28 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Muradov connects for an average of 5.32 strikes/minute and connects on 42% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Gerald Meerschaert, who tags the opposition on 43% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 3.31 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Wellington Turman is set to enter the Octagon against Sam Alvey. Alvey holds a record of 33-15-1. The 35-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and measures 6'2". The southpaw fighter stretches 75". Turman measures in at 6'0" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 16-5-0. The 25-year-old has a reach of 72". Concerning wrestling, Sam Alvey is thwarting 82% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is scoring a takedown on 16% of his attempts. Turman is finishing his takedowns on 22% of his tries and thwarts 80% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Alvey is absorbing 3.44 strikes/minute and he lands 3.20 per min. Turman, on the other hand, is taking 3.75 strikes/minute and is dealing 2.44 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Daniel Rodriguez (+122)

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