Kevin Aguilar vs Tucker Lutz Pick, 5/15/2021 Predictions UFC 262 Odds

Kevin Aguilar vs Tucker Lutz

UFC 262

Toyota Center in Houston, TX

Saturday, May 15, 2021

Kevin Aguilar will face off against Tucker Lutz at UFC 262 on Saturday, May 15, 2021. The line has Aguilar at +100 while Lutz is coming in at -120.

Kevin "Angel of Death" Aguilar walks into the Octagon with a record of 17-4-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Tucker "Top Gun" Lutz stands in at 5'8" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 11-1-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 72". In terms of significant strikes, Kevin Aguilar lands 3.69 per minute while Tucker Lutz is landing 4.33 significant strikes per min. Aguilar lands 37% of the significant strikes he attempts and Lutz connects on 49%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Angel of Death" allows 4.47 significant strikes per minute and "Top Gun" absorbs 2.80. Aguilar also defends against 53% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Lutz prevents 47% of the shots thrown his way.

Regarding takedowns, Kevin Aguilar is not as efficient of a grappler as he scores a takedown 0.19 times per 15 min. Aguilar is finishing his takedown attempts on 25% of his tries and stuffing 87% of all takedown attempts. Lutz is finishing his takedowns on 57% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 81% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Aguilar is less apt at going for the finish by going for 0.3 subs per 3 rounds while Lutz attempts 0.5 subs per 15 minutes.

The last time he fought, Kevin Aguilar fought Charles Rosa and wound up taking the loss by split decision in round 3. Rosa ended up landing 69 of 173 total strikes that he let go. Aguilar ended the night having landed 53 of 135 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Rosa ended up landing 69 of 173, which means his percentage was 39%. He landed 33 of 119 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Aguilar ended up landing 39% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 53 of 135. Of those significant strikes, he was 34 of 109 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Rosa and 94% of them connected on by Aguilar were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Tucker Lutz, he squared up with Sherrard Blackledge and wound up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Blackledge ended up connecting on 43% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Lutz ended up connecting on 76% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Lutz ended up landing 54% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 34 of 62. He ended up landing 15 of 41 significant strikes aimed at the head. Blackledge ended up landing 37 of 75 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 10 of 36 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that fight, Blackledge connected on 96 of 136 and Lutz landed 61 of 93 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Christos Giagos faces off with Sean Soriano. Giagos steps into the cage with a mark of 18-8-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Soriano measures in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 14-6-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 72". In terms of takedowns, Christos Giagos takes his opponents to the canvas 3.11 times per 3 rds while Sean Soriano gets a takedown 1.27 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Giagos is connecting on 2.88 strikes per minute and connects on 41% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Sean Soriano, who is connecting on 61% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 3.15 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Antonina Shevchenko is set to encounter Andrea Lee. Lee walks into the cage with a record of 11-5-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Shevchenko stands 5'8" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to her career total of 9-2-0. The 36-year-old extends her reach 67". In the category of takedowns, Andrea Lee defends against 57% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 45% of the times she tries. Shevchenko is taking her opponents to the mat on 60% of the attempts she tries and stops 56% of all takedown tries against her. Concerning striking, Lee takes 3.83 strikes per min while she lands 5.58 per minute. Shevchenko, notwithstanding, is taking 2.51 strikes/min and deals 4.09 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Tucker Lutz (-120)

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