Kelvin Gastelum vs Ian Heinisch Pick, 2/13/2021 Predictions UFC 258 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 2/9/2021

Kelvin Gastelum vs Ian Heinisch

UFC 258

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, February 13, 2021

Kelvin Gastelum will face off with Ian Heinisch at UFC 258 on Saturday, February 13, 2021. The opener has Gastelum at -230 while Heinisch is coming in at +190.

Kelvin Gastelum looks to add a victory to his record of 16-6-0. The 29-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 71". Ian "The Hurricane" Heinisch measures 5'11" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 14-3-0. The 32-year-old reaches 72". With respect to significant strikes, Kelvin Gastelum is landing 3.72 per min while Ian Heinisch is connecting on 3.62 significant strikes per min. Gastelum is landing 43% of the significant strikes he attempts and Heinisch lands 52%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Gastelum absorbs 3.00 significant strikes per minute and "The Hurricane" takes 2.85. Gastelum also defends against 59% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Heinisch curbs 59% of the shots thrown his way.

UFC 258	Kelvin Gastelum	Ian Heinisch
Opening Odds	-230	+190
Record	16-6-0	14-3-0
Average Fight Time	12:08	10:49
Height	5'9"	5'11"
Weight	185 lbs	185 lbs
Reach	71"	72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.72	3.62
Striking Accuracy	43%	52%

In the grappling category, Kelvin Gastelum is not as effective of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.87 times per 3 rounds. Gastelum is scoring a takedown on 37% of his tries and is stuffing 63% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Heinisch is getting his opponent to the mat on 19% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 62% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Gastelum is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.1 subs per 15 minutes while Heinisch looks to get 0.5 subs per 3 rounds.

In his previous bout, Kelvin Gastelum fought Jack Hermansson and wound up losing the fight via a heel hook in round 1. Hermansson ended up landing 2 of 4 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Gastelum walked away from this fight having landed 1 of 5 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Hermansson landed 2 of 4, which gave him a rate of 50%.

In the last fight for Ian Heinisch, he went up against Gerald Meerschaert and took home the victory by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Meerschaert ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Heinisch connected on 25% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Heinisch ended up landing 80% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 20 of 25. He connected on 17 of 22 significant strikes directed at the head. Meerschaert landed 3 of 10 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 1 of 8 aimed at the head. In regard to the strikes he fired off in this contest, Meerschaert ended up connecting on 3 of 10 while Heinisch ended up connecting on 22 of 27 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Maki Pitolo faces off with Julian Marquez. Pitolo comes into this fight with a record of 13-7-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Marquez comes in at 6'2" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 7-2-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 72". Regarding grappling, Maki Pitolo scores a takedown 1.45 times per 15 minutes and Julian Marquez is averaging a takedown 0.60 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Pitolo connects for an average of 4.87 strikes/min and connecting on 43% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Julian Marquez, who tags his opponent on 40% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 3.80 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Bobby Green is set to square up in the Octagon with Jim Miller. Miller will be looking to add a victory to his total of 32-15-0. The 37-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and stands 5'8". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 71". Green comes in at 5'10" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 27-11-1. The 34-year-old has a reach of 71". In terms of grappling, Jim Miller is able to thwart 46% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 43% of the times he tries. Green is taking his opponents down on 41% of the tries he takes and prevents 72% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Miller takes 2.99 strikes/min while he is landing 2.73 per min. Green, on the contrary, is absorbing 3.32 strikes/minute and lands 5.17 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Ian Heinisch (+190)

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Kelvin Gastelum vs Ian Heinisch Pick, 2/13/2021 Predictions UFC 258 Odds

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