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Free Picks » UFC Picks » Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Jessica Penne Pick, 8/7/2021 Predictions UFC 265 Odds

Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Jessica Penne Pick, 8/7/2021 Predictions UFC 265 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 8/3/2021

Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Jessica Penne Pick, 8/7/2021 Predictions UFC 265 OddsKarolina Kowalkiewicz vs Jessica Penne

UFC 265

Toyota Center in Houston, TX

Saturday, August 7, 2021

Karolina Kowalkiewicz will enter the Octagon with Jessica Penne at UFC 265 on Saturday, August 7, 2021. The opening line has Kowalkiewicz at -120 while Penne is coming in at -102.

Karolina Kowalkiewicz looks to add a win to her total of 12-6-0. The 35-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and stands 5'3". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 64". Jessica Penne measures in at 5'5" and is fighting at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her total of 13-6-0. The 38-year-old extends her reach 67". Concerning significant strikes, Karolina Kowalkiewicz lands 5.27 per min and Jessica Penne is connecting on 2.40 significant strikes per min. Kowalkiewicz lands 39% of the significant strikes she attempts while Penne connects on 33%. When it comes to defending in the cage, Kowalkiewicz takes 5.65 significant strikes per minute and Penne allows 4.45. Kowalkiewicz also stops 56% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way and Penne is able to thwart 48% of the strikes thrown her way.

 

UFC 265 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Jessica Penne
Opening Odds -120 -102
Record 12-6-0 13-6-0
Average Fight Time 13:38 12:13
Height 5'3" 5'5"
Weight 115 lbs 115 lbs
Reach 64" 67"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.27 2.40
Striking Accuracy 39% 33%

 

Regarding wrestling, Karolina Kowalkiewicz is the not as competent as a wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 0.10 times per 3 rds. Kowalkiewicz is finishing her takedown attempts on 12% of her tries and stuffing 75% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Penne is getting her opponent to the mat on 23% of her takedown tries and stopping 42% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Kowalkiewicz is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 0.1 finishes per 15 min while Penne goes for 0.6 finishes per 15 minutes.

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The last time she fought, Karolina Kowalkiewicz went up against Yan Xiaonan and ended up walking away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 3. Xiaonan landed 157 of 254 of the strikes she threw in total in this fight. Kowalkiewicz walked away from this fight having landed 51 of 103 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Xiaonan ended up landing 93 of 178, giving her a percentage of 52%. She ended up landing 59 of 138 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Kowalkiewicz landed 44% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 38 of 85. Of those significant strikes, she landed 19 of 55 aimed at the head. 78% of the significant strikes landed by Xiaonan and 92% of them connected on by Kowalkiewicz were tallied at a distance.

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In the last fight for Jessica Penne, she fought Loopy Godinez and wound up getting the win by split decision in round 3. Godinez connected on 92% of her significant strikes at distance while Penne ended up connecting on 93% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Penne ended up landing 35% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 31 of 87. She ended up landing 19 of 63 significant strikes to the head. Godinez ended up connecting on 40 of 74 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, she ended up landing 31 of 63 to the head. In regard to total strikes that she let go in that fight, Godinez was 68 of 106 and Penne ended up landing 98 of 158 of the strikes she threw in total.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Derrick Lewis meets Ciryl Gane. Lewis walks into the Octagon with a mark of 25-7-0. The 36-year-old tips the scales at 260 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 79". Gane measures 6'4" and weighs in at 245 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 9-0-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 81". When it comes to grappling, Derrick Lewis takes his opponents down 0.52 times per 3 rounds while Ciryl Gane is able to score a takedown 0.82 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Lewis lands 2.59 strikes per min and landing 50% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Ciryl Gane, who tags the opposition on 54% of the strikes that he throws and lands 5.13 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Pedro Munhoz is set to encounter Jose Aldo. Aldo looks to add a victory to his total of 29-7-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Munhoz comes in at 5'6" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 19-5-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 65". Regarding wrestling, Jose Aldo is able to defend against 91% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedown attempts on 56% of his attempts. Munhoz is finishing his takedowns on 21% of the attempts he tries and curbs 80% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Aldo is taking 3.52 strikes/min while he is dealing 3.45 per minute. Munhoz, in contrast, absorbs 5.87 strikes per minute and is dealing 5.60 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Jessica Penne (-102)

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