Kamaru Usman vs Colby Covington Pick, 11/6/2021 Predictions UFC 268 Odds

Kamaru Usman vs Colby Covington

UFC 268

Madison Square Garden in New York City

Saturday, November 6, 2021

Kamaru Usman will take on Colby Covington at UFC 268 on Saturday, November 6, 2021. The opener has Usman priced at -290 while Covington is priced at +225.

Kamaru "The Nigerian Nightmare" Usman steps into the cage with a mark of 19-1-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The switch fighter reaches 76". Colby "Chaos" Covington measures in at 5'11" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 16-2-0. The 33-year-old stretches 72". Regarding significant strikes, Kamaru Usman lands 4.63 per minute and Colby Covington lands 4.12 significant strikes per minute. Usman lands 54% of the significant strikes he tries while Covington is landing 38%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Nigerian Nightmare" takes 2.40 significant strikes per min while "Chaos" absorbs 2.86. Usman also curbs 57% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Covington is able to defend against 55% of the strikes thrown his way.

Regarding takedowns, Kamaru Usman is not as efficient of a grappler as he gets a takedown 3.27 times per 15 minutes. Usman is getting his opponent to the mat on 48% of his tries and thwarting 80% of the tries against him. Covington is finishing his takedown tries on 50% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 75% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Usman is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.1 subs per 15 minutes while Covington tries 0.3 subs per 15 minutes.

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In his last fight, Kamaru Usman went up against Jorge Masvidal and wound up taking home the victory by a punch to the head in round 2. Masvidal landed 56 of 79 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Usman ended the night having landed 32 of 54 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Masvidal ended up landing 31 of 52, which means his percentage was 59%. He landed 13 of 33 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Usman landed 52% of his significant strikes by landing 21 of 40. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 15 of 32 pointed at the head. 87% of the significant strikes landed by Masvidal and 57% of them connected on by Usman were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Colby Covington, he fought Tyron Woodley and ended up getting the victory in the fight by shots to the ribs in round 5. Woodley connected on 76% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Covington landed 55% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Covington ended up connecting on 54% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 78 of 143. He connected on 47 of 106 significant strikes directed at the head. Woodley landed 34 of 83 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he landed 14 of 58 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go, Woodley was 67 of 116 while Covington connected on 232 of 311 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Justin Gaethje opposes Michael Chandler. Gaethje looks to add a victory to his career record of 22-3-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 70". Chandler comes in at 5'8" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 22-6-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 71". Regarding grappling, Justin Gaethje scores a takedown 0.40 times per 15 minutes and Michael Chandler scores a takedown 2.03 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Gaethje is connecting on 7.46 strikes per min and is landing 59% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Michael Chandler, who tags the opposition on 50% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 4.49 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Billy Quarantillo is set to take on Shane Burgos. Burgos walks into the cage with a mark of 13-3-0. The 30-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Quarantillo stands in at 5'10" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 16-3-0. The 32-year-old stretches 70". Regarding takedowns, Shane Burgos is stopping 89% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedowns on 70% of his tries. Quarantillo is taking his opponents down on 34% of the tries he takes and thwarts 57% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Burgos takes 6.11 strikes/min and he connects on 7.29 strikes per min. Quarantillo, on the other side, is taking 4.33 strikes/minute and dishes out 7.08 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Kamaru Usman (-290)

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