Kai Kara-France vs Cody Garbrandt Pick, 12/11/2021 Predictions UFC 269 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 12/7/2021

ufc picks Kai Kara-France predictions best bet odds

Kai Kara-France vs Cody Garbrandt

UFC 269

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 11, 2021

Kai Kara-France will enter the Octagon against Cody Garbrandt at UFC 269 on Saturday, December 11, 2021. The line has Kara-France coming in at +135 while Garbrandt is at -155.

Kai "Don't Blink" Kara-France holds a mark of 22-9-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands 5'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Cody "No Love" Garbrandt stands in at 5'8" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 12-4-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 65". Concerning significant strikes, Kai Kara-France is connecting on 5.02 per min and Cody Garbrandt connects on 3.17 significant strikes per min. Kara-France is connecting on 39% of the significant strikes he attempts while Garbrandt connects on 38%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Don't Blink" allows 3.84 significant strikes per minute and "No Love" allows 4.14. Kara-France also curbs 66% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Garbrandt prevents 61% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

UFC 269	Kai Kara-France	Cody Garbrandt
Opening Odds	+135	-155
Record	22-9-0	12-4-0
Average Fight Time	12:15	10:25
Height	5'4"	5'8"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	69"	65"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.02	3.17
Striking Accuracy	39%	38%

Regarding wrestling, Kai Kara-France is the not as competent as a wrestler as he gets a takedown 0.53 times per 3 rounds. Kara-France is getting his opponent to the mat on 23% of the times he tries and stuffing 86% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Garbrandt is finishing his takedowns on 32% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 83% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Kara-France is the more able fighter by going for 0.7 finishes per 3 rds while Garbrandt attempts 0.4 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his last fight, Kai Kara-France faced Rogerio Bontorin and got a win for the night by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Bontorin landed 27 of 43 total strikes attempted in that contest. Kara-France walked away from this fight having landed 21 of 32 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Bontorin ended up landing 6 of 17, which means his percentage was 35%. He ended up landing 5 of 16 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Kara-France ended up landing 59% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 13 of 22. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 8 of 17 aimed at the head. 83% of the significant strikes connected on by Bontorin and 84% of them connected on by Kara-France were thrown at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Cody Garbrandt, he battled Rob Font and walked away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Font ended up landing 95% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Garbrandt ended up connecting on 80% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Garbrandt connected on 44% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 63 of 142. He ended up landing 45 of 120 significant strikes directed at the head. Font ended up connecting on 176 of 365 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 145 of 326 to the head. Regarding total strikes that he threw in that fight, Font connected on 183 of 374 while Garbrandt was 78 of 159 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Raulian Paiva squares up with Sean O'Malley. Paiva has a mark of 21-3-0. The 26-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 69". O'Malley measures in at 5'11" and will fight at 135 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 14-1-0. The 27-year-old extends his reach 72". In terms of takedowns, Raulian Paiva takes his opponents to the mat 0.62 times per 15 min and Sean O'Malley scores a takedown 0.63 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Paiva lands 4.24 strikes per min and connecting on 43% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Sean O'Malley, who tags his opponent on 62% of the strikes he has tried and lands an average of 8.25 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Dan Ige is set to square up in the Octagon against Josh Emmett. Emmett steps into the cage with a record of 16-2-0. The 36-year-old weighs 145 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Ige comes in at 5'7" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 15-4-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 71". In the category of takedowns, Josh Emmett curbs 50% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents down on 47% of his tries. Ige is taking his opponents down on 25% of the attempts he tries and thwarts 55% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Emmett takes 4.02 strikes/min while he is landing 4.32 per min. Ige, in contrast, is taking 3.41 strikes/min and dishes out 3.82 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Kai Kara-France (+135)

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Kai Kara-France vs Cody Garbrandt Pick, 12/11/2021 Predictions UFC 269 Odds

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