Kai Kamaka vs TJ Brown Pick, 5/1/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 25 Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/27/2021

Kai Kamaka vs TJ Brown

UFC Vegas 25

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, May 1, 2021

Kai Kamaka will take on TJ Brown at UFC Vegas 25 on Saturday, May 1, 2021. The opening line has Kamaka priced at -155 while Brown is coming in at +135.

Kai "The Fighting Hawaiian" Kamaka will be looking to add a win to his career record of 8-3-0. The 26-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 69". TJ "Downtown" Brown measures in at 5'9" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 14-8-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 72". Regarding significant strikes, Kai Kamaka is connecting on 6.58 per minute and TJ Brown connects on 3.22 significant strikes per minute. Kamaka is landing 60% of the significant strikes he attempts and Brown is connecting on 42%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "The Fighting Hawaiian" allows 6.74 significant strikes per minute while "Downtown" allows 2.21. Kamaka also defends 49% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Brown is able to defend against 50% of the strikes thrown his way.

UFC Vegas 25	Kai Kamaka	TJ Brown
Opening Odds	-155	+135
Record	8-3-0	14-8-0
Average Fight Time	12:14	12:12
Height	5'7"	5'9"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	69"	72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	6.58	3.22
Striking Accuracy	60%	42%

Regarding grappling, Kai Kamaka is not as efficient of a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 3.68 times per 15 minutes. Kamaka is taking his opponents to the canvas on 75% of the times he tries and is defending 37% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Brown is finishing his takedowns on 60% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 40% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to submission attempts, Kamaka is the more experienced submission fighter by going for 0.6 submissions per 15 min while Brown looks to get 0.4 submissions per 3 rds.

In his last fight, Kai Kamaka went up against Jonathan Pearce and wound up losing the fight by a punch to the head in round 2. Pearce landed 113 of 172 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Kamaka walked away from this fight having landed 48 of 84 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Pearce landed 51 of 100, which gave him a rate of 51%. He landed 34 of 76 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Kamaka landed 56% of his significant strikes by sticking 47 of 83. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 20 of 51 pointed at the head. 52% of the significant strikes landed by Pearce and 93% of them connected on by Kamaka were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for TJ Brown, he fought Danny Chavez and walked away with a loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Chavez connected on 81% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Brown connected on 88% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Brown landed 30% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 43 of 139. He landed 25 of 103 significant strikes to the head. Chavez ended up connecting on 49 of 110 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 23 of 81 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes thrown, Chavez ended up connecting on 52 of 113 while Brown connected on 59 of 156 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Andreas Michailidis faces off with KB Bhullar. Michailidis holds a mark of 12-4-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and stands 6'0". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Bhullar measures 6'4" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this fight with a record of 8-1-0. The 29-year-old reaches 78". When it comes to grappling, Andreas Michailidis takes his opponents to the mat 0.20 times per 3 rounds and KB Bhullar takes his opponents to the canvas 0.40 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Michailidis is landing 4.60 strikes/minute and is connecting on 50% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is KB Bhullar, who tags the opposition on 13% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 1.18 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Felipe Colares is set to square up in the Octagon with Luke Sanders. Sanders looks to add a victory to his total of 13-4-0. The 35-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 67". Colares stands 5'8" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 9-2-0. The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 69". In terms of grappling, Luke Sanders defends against 66% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents to the mat on 20% of his tries. Colares is finishing his takedown tries on 25% of his attempts and stops 34% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Sanders takes 4.11 strikes per minute while he is dealing 6.21 strikes per min. Colares, on the other side, takes 3.00 strikes/minute and connects on 1.13 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Kai Kamaka (-155)

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Kai Kamaka vs TJ Brown Pick, 5/1/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 25 Odds

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