Justin Tafa vs Jared Vanderaa Pick, 5/22/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 27 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/17/2021

Justin Tafa vs Jared Vanderaa

UFC Vegas 27

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, May 22, 2021

Justin Tafa will face off with Jared Vanderaa at UFC Vegas 27 on Saturday, May 22, 2021. The opener has Tafa coming in at -190 while Vanderaa is coming in at +165.

Justin "Bad Man" Tafa will be looking to add a win to his career total of 4-2-0. The 27-year-old weighs 264 lbs and measures 6'0". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 74". Jared "The Mountain" Vanderaa measures 6'4" and weighs in at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 11-5-0. The 29-year-old stretches 80". When talking about significant strikes, Justin Tafa connects on 5.33 per min and Jared Vanderaa lands 2.75 significant strikes per min. Tafa is landing 59% of the significant strikes he tries while Vanderaa is connecting on 52%. Regarding defense, "Bad Man" takes 4.60 significant strikes per minute while "The Mountain" allows 5.19. Tafa also thwarts 46% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Vanderaa is able to deflect 33% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

UFC Vegas 27	Justin Tafa	Jared Vanderaa
Opening Odds	-190	+165
Record	4-2-0	11-5-0
Average Fight Time	6:23	6:33
Height	6'0"	6'4"
Weight	264 lbs	260 lbs
Reach	74"	80"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.33	2.75
Striking Accuracy	59%	52%

When it comes to wrestling, Justin Tafa is the lesser skilled grappler as he gets a takedown 0.70 times per 3 rounds. Tafa is getting his opponent to the mat on 40% of his tries and thwarting 80% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Vanderaa is taking his opponents down on 80% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 70% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Tafa is less likely to go for the finish by trying 0.4 submissions per 3 rounds while Vanderaa attempts 0.6 submissions per 3 rounds.

In his last bout, Justin Tafa faced Carlos Felipe and wound up losing the fight by split decision in round 3. Felipe landed 77 of 142 total strikes attempted in that fight. Tafa finished this fight landing 109 of 171 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Felipe ended up landing 77 of 142, giving him a percentage of 54%. He landed 46 of 103 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Tafa landed 58% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 86 of 148. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 50 of 107 to the head. 83% of the significant strikes landed by Felipe and 86% of them landed by Tafa were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Jared Vanderaa, he faced off with Serghei Spivac and walked away in defeat by punches to the head from the mount position in round 2. Spivac ended up connecting on 13% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Vanderaa ended up connecting on 84% of his significant strikes at distance. Vanderaa ended up landing 54% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 13 of 24. He landed 8 of 19 significant strikes aimed at the head. Spivac ended up landing 51 of 72 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 51 of 72 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes thrown in that contest, Spivac ended up connecting on 107 of 135 and Vanderaa ended up landing 27 of 38 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when David Dvorak faces off against Raulian Paiva. Dvorak looks to add a win to his record of 19-3-0. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands 5'5". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 68". Paiva measures 5'8" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 20-3-0. The 25-year-old reaches 69". In the grappling category, David Dvorak gets a takedown 0.10 times per 15 minutes while Raulian Paiva scores a takedown 0.26 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Dvorak lands an average of 4.50 strikes per min and connecting on 48% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Raulian Paiva, who is landing 43% of the strikes he has thrown and is connecting on 4.46 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Edmen Shahbazyan is set to go up against Jack Hermansson. Hermansson looks to add a victory to his career total of 21-6-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and measures 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 77". Shahbazyan stands in at 6'2" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 11-1-0. The 23-year-old stretches 74". Regarding wrestling, Jack Hermansson prevents 75% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is scoring a takedown on 34% of his tries. Shahbazyan is finishing his takedown tries on 40% of his attempts and deflects 58% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Hermansson takes 3.46 strikes/min and he connects on 5.03 per min. Shahbazyan, notwithstanding, absorbs 4.31 strikes per minute and connects on 3.85 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Jared Vanderaa (+165)

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