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Free Picks » UFC Picks » Justin Gaethje vs Michael Chandler Pick, 11/6/2021 Predictions UFC 268 Odds

Justin Gaethje vs Michael Chandler Pick, 11/6/2021 Predictions UFC 268 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 11/2/2021

ufc picks Justin Gaethje predictions best bet odds

Justin Gaethje vs Michael Chandler

UFC 268

Madison Square Garden in New York City

Saturday, November 6, 2021

Justin Gaethje will enter the Octagon with Michael Chandler at UFC 268 on Saturday, November 6, 2021. The odds have Gaethje coming in at -210 while Chandler is priced at +168.

Justin "The Highlight" Gaethje looks to add a victory to his career record of 22-3-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 70". Michael "Iron" Chandler comes in at 5'8" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 22-6-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 71". In the category of significant strikes, Justin Gaethje connects on 7.46 per min while Michael Chandler lands 4.49 significant strikes per min. Gaethje is connecting on 59% of the significant strikes he tries while Chandler is landing 50%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "The Highlight" takes 7.99 significant strikes per min and "Iron" allows 3.87. Gaethje also curbs 55% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Chandler is able to thwart 49% of the strikes thrown his way.

 

UFC 268 Justin Gaethje Michael Chandler
Opening Odds -210 +168
Record 22-3-0 22-6-0
Average Fight Time 9:44 6:26
Height 5'11" 5'8"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 70" 71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.46 4.49
Striking Accuracy 59% 50%

 

Regarding wrestling, Justin Gaethje is not as efficient of a grappler as he gets a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rds. Gaethje is getting his opponent to the mat on 30% of his tries and is stopping 69% of all takedown tries against him. Chandler is finishing his takedown tries on 41% of his takedown attempts and is defending 71% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Gaethje is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by attempting 0.4 submissions per 3 rds while Chandler looks to get 1.6 submissions per 3 rds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Justin Gaethje faced Khabib Nurmagomedov and walked away in defeat by way of a triangle choke in round 2. Nurmagomedov landed 26 of 80 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Gaethje finished this fight landing 29 of 46 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Nurmagomedov ended up landing 26 of 80, giving him a percentage of 32%. He landed 18 of 72 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Gaethje ended up landing 64% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 29 of 45. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 12 of 26 pointed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes landed by Nurmagomedov and 100% of them connected on by Gaethje were tallied at distance.

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In the last fight for Michael Chandler, he squared up with Charles Oliveira and was defeated via a punch to the head in round 2. Oliveira ended up connecting on 54% of his significant strikes at distance and Chandler ended up landing 43% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Chandler connected on 54% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 30 of 55. He connected on 22 of 42 significant strikes aimed at the head. Oliveira landed 24 of 32 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 20 of 26 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes thrown in that contest, Oliveira ended up landing 32 of 41 while Chandler connected on 36 of 61 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Shane Burgos opposes Billy Quarantillo. Burgos walks into the cage with a mark of 13-3-0. The 30-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Quarantillo stands in at 5'10" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 16-3-0. The 32-year-old stretches 70". In terms of takedowns, Shane Burgos takes his opponents to the canvas 0.27 times per 15 min while Billy Quarantillo is averaging a takedown 1.66 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Burgos connects for an average of 7.29 strikes/minute and is landing 49% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Billy Quarantillo, who tags the opposition on 64% of the strikes he has tried and is connecting on 7.08 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Marlon Vera is set to enter the Octagon against Frankie Edgar. Edgar looks to add a victory to his record of 23-9-1. The 40-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 68". Vera measures in at 5'8" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 17-7-1. The 28-year-old has a reach of 70". When it comes to takedowns, Frankie Edgar stops 65% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is getting his opponent to the mat on 31% of his tries. Vera is taking his opponents down on 42% of his tries and stops 69% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Edgar is absorbing 2.71 strikes/minute while he dishes out 3.70 strikes per min. Vera, on the other hand, takes 4.08 strikes/min and lands 3.91 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Michael Chandler (+168)

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