Jonathan Pearce vs Omar Morales Pick, 9/25/2021 Predictions UFC 266 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/21/2021

ufc picks Omar Morales predictions best bet odds

Jonathan Pearce vs Omar Morales

UFC 266

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, September 25, 2021

Jonathan Pearce will enter the Octagon against Omar Morales at UFC 266 on Saturday, September 25, 2021. The moneyline has Pearce coming in at +132 while Morales is coming in at -162.

Jonathan "JSP" Pearce will be looking to add a win to his career total of 10-4-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The switch fighter has a reach of 71". Omar "Venezuelan Fighter" Morales comes in at 5'11" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 11-1-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 73". In the category of significant strikes, Jonathan Pearce connects on 8.80 per minute while Omar Morales connects on 3.66 significant strikes per minute. Pearce is connecting on 55% of the significant strikes he throws while Morales is connecting on 37%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "JSP" allows 6.65 significant strikes per min and "Venezuelan Fighter" absorbs 3.01. Pearce also prevents 46% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Morales is able to thwart 63% of the strikes thrown his way.

UFC 266	Jonathan Pearce	Omar Morales
Opening Odds	+132	-162
Record	10-4-0	11-1-0
Average Fight Time	7:37	13:13
Height	6'0"	5'11"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	71"	73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	8.80	3.66
Striking Accuracy	55%	37%

Concerning wrestling, Jonathan Pearce is the more skilled wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 5.91 times per 15 min. Pearce is finishing his takedown attempts on 60% of his tries and is stuffing 75% of all takedowns attempted on him. Morales is finishing his takedown attempts on 80% of the takedowns he tries and defending 87% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Pearce is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 0.7 subs per 15 min while Morales looks to get 0.4 subs per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Jonathan Pearce faced Kai Kamaka and ended up getting the victory by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Kamaka landed 48 of 84 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Pearce walked away from this fight having landed 113 of 172 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Kamaka ended up landing 47 of 83, giving him a percentage of 56%. He landed 20 of 51 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Pearce landed 51% of his significant strikes by sticking 51 of 100. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 34 of 76 pointed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Kamaka and 52% of them connected on by Pearce were thrown at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Omar Morales, he battled Shane Young and wound up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Young connected on 86% of his significant strikes at distance while Morales ended up connecting on 85% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Morales landed 47% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 69 of 144. He ended up landing 48 of 120 significant strikes aimed at the head. Young ended up connecting on 46 of 105 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 17 of 65 to the head. When discussing total strikes thrown, Young ended up connecting on 59 of 120 and Morales was 74 of 150 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Valentina Shevchenko takes on Lauren Murphy. Shevchenko will be looking to add a win to her record of 21-3-0. The 33-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'5". The southpaw fighter extends her reach 66". Murphy stands 5'5" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 15-4-0. The 38-year-old stretches 67". Regarding grappling, Valentina Shevchenko is able to score a takedown 2.64 times per 3 rounds while Lauren Murphy takes her opponents to the canvas 1.16 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Shevchenko tags his opponents 3.02 strikes per minute and is landing 51% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Lauren Murphy, who is landing 40% of the strikes she has attempted and lands an average of 3.95 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Cynthia Calvillo is set to square up against Jessica Andrade. Andrade walks into the cage holding a mark of 21-9-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and stands 5'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 62". Calvillo stands 5'4" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 9-2-1. The 34-year-old stretches 64". In terms of grappling, Jessica Andrade is able to deflect 66% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 55% of her tries. Calvillo is finishing her takedown tries on 44% of her tries and is able to curb 71% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Andrade is absorbing 5.20 strikes per min and she is landing 6.15 strikes/minute. Calvillo, on the contrary, is absorbing 3.52 strikes/min and is dealing 4.18 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Jonathan Pearce (+132)

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Jonathan Pearce vs Omar Morales Pick, 9/25/2021 Predictions UFC 266 Odds

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