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Jeremy Stephens vs Mateusz Gamrot Pick, 7/17/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 31 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 7/12/2021

ufc picks Jeremy Stephens predictions best bet odds

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Jeremy Stephens vs Mateusz Gamrot

UFC Vegas 31

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 17, 2021

Jeremy Stephens will face off with Mateusz Gamrot at UFC Vegas 31 on Saturday, July 17, 2021. The odds have Stephens priced at +184 while Gamrot is priced at -230.

Jeremy "Lil' Heathen" Stephens comes into this fight with a mark of 28-18-0. The 35-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Mateusz "Gamer" Gamrot stands 5'10" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a record of 18-1-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 70". When talking about significant strikes, Jeremy Stephens is landing 3.18 per min while Mateusz Gamrot lands 4.26 significant strikes per minute. Stephens lands 40% of the significant strikes he tries and Gamrot is connecting on 48%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Lil' Heathen" takes 3.06 significant strikes per min while "Gamer" absorbs 2.20. Stephens also stops 58% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Gamrot is able to deflect 64% of the shots thrown in his direction.

 

UFC Vegas 31 Jeremy Stephens Mateusz Gamrot
Opening Odds +184 -230
Record 28-18-0 18-1-0
Average Fight Time 11:46 10:41
Height 5'9" 5'10"
Weight 145 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 71" 70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.18 4.26
Striking Accuracy 40% 48%

 

Concerning grappling, Jeremy Stephens is the not as competent as a grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.16 times per 15 minutes. Stephens is scoring a takedown on 38% of his tries and is defending 65% of all takedown attempts. Gamrot is scoring a takedown on 33% of his takedown attempts and defending 80% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to submissions, Stephens is the more apt fighter by going for 0.4 submissions per 3 rounds while Gamrot goes for 0.2 submissions per 15 min.

The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Jeremy Stephens fought Calvin Kattar and ended up taking the loss via an elbow to the head in round 2. Kattar ended up landing 52 of 113 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Stephens finished this fight landing 57 of 104 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Kattar ended up landing 52 of 113, which gave him a percentage of 46%. He ended up landing 32 of 92 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Stephens landed 54% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 57 of 104. Of those significant strikes, he was 24 of 66 pointed at the head. 90% of the significant strikes connected on by Kattar and 98% of them connected on by Stephens were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Mateusz Gamrot, he faced off with Scott Holtzman and wound up getting the victory by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. Holtzman ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Gamrot ended up connecting on 76% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Gamrot connected on 61% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 39 of 63. He connected on 17 of 38 significant strikes directed at the head. Holtzman ended up landing 10 of 48 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 5 of 34 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes thrown in that contest, Holtzman connected on 10 of 48 while Gamrot ended up landing 41 of 65 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Rodolfo Vieira squares up with Dustin Stoltzfus. Vieira looks to add a win to his career record of 7-1-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter stretches 73". Stoltzfus measures in at 6'0" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 13-2-0. The 29-year-old reaches 75". Regarding grappling, Rodolfo Vieira takes his opponents down 7.00 times per 15 minutes and Dustin Stoltzfus takes his opponents to the mat 0.78 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Vieira lands an average of 1.66 strikes/minute and connecting on 42% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Dustin Stoltzfus, who lands 57% of the strikes he has attempted and is connecting on 2.48 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Billy Quarantillo is set to battle Gabriel Benitez. Benitez steps into the Octagon with a mark of 22-9-0. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 71". Quarantillo stands 5'10" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 15-3-0. The 32-year-old reaches 70". In terms of grappling, Gabriel Benitez deflects 56% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents down on 50% of his tries. Quarantillo is finishing his takedown tries on 31% of the attempts he tries and is able to deflect 57% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Benitez is taking 3.26 strikes/min and he deals 4.38 strikes per min. Quarantillo, in contrast, absorbs 4.37 strikes/min and is landing 7.03 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Mateusz Gamrot (-230)

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