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Jared Gooden vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov Pick, 3/27/2021 Predictions UFC 260 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 3/23/2021

abubakar nurmagomedov ufc

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Jared Gooden vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov

UFC 260

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 27, 2021

Jared Gooden will face off with Abubakar Nurmagomedov at UFC 260 on Saturday, March 27, 2021. The opener has Gooden priced at +190 while Nurmagomedov is priced at -230.

Jared "NiteTrain" Gooden will be looking to add a victory to his record of 17-5-0. The 27-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 77". Abubakar Nurmagomedov measures in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 15-3-1. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 72". In the category of significant strikes, Jared Gooden connects on 6.67 per min and Abubakar Nurmagomedov is landing 1.41 significant strikes per minute. Gooden is connecting on 47% of the significant strikes he attempts while Nurmagomedov connects on 44%. Regarding defending in the cage, "NiteTrain" takes 11.20 significant strikes per minute while Nurmagomedov allows 0.71. Gooden also deflects 49% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Nurmagomedov is able to stop 81% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

 

UFC 260 Jared Gooden Abubakar Nurmagomedov
Opening Odds +190 -230
Record 17-5-0 15-3-1
Average Fight Time 15:00 2:50
Height 6'0" 5'11"
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 77" 72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.67 1.41
Striking Accuracy 47% 44%

 

Regarding takedowns, Jared Gooden is not as effective of a wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 1.00 time per 15 min. Gooden is finishing his takedown attempts on 70% of his attempts and is stuffing 60% of all takedowns attempted on him. Nurmagomedov is finishing his takedown attempts on 80% of his takedown tries and stuffing 60% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Gooden is the more capable fighter by attempting 0.4 subs per 15 minutes while Nurmagomedov attempts 0.2 subs per 15 minutes.

In his previous bout, Jared Gooden faced Alan Jouban and was defeated by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Jouban ended up landing 169 of 332 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Gooden ended the night having landed 101 of 211 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Jouban landed 168 of 331, which gave him a percentage of 50%. He ended up landing 116 of 262 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Gooden ended up landing 47% of his significant strikes by connecting on 100 of 210. Of those significant strikes, he landed 79 of 182 aimed at the head. 89% of the significant strikes connected on by Jouban and 90% of them landed by Gooden were thrown at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Abubakar Nurmagomedov, he fought David Zawada and was on the losing end of this fight by way of a triangle choke in round 1. Nurmagomedov ended up landing 44% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 4 of 9. He connected on 3 of 8 significant strikes directed at the head. Zawada ended up landing 2 of 11 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he missed all 7 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Zawada was 25 of 34 while Nurmagomedov was 22 of 34 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Modestas Bukauskas enters the Octagon against Michal Oleksiejczuk. Bukauskas walks into the Octagon with a mark of 11-3-0. The 27-year-old weighs 205 lbs and stands 6'3". The switch fighter reaches 78". Oleksiejczuk stands in at 6'0" and weighs 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 14-4-0. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 74". In terms of takedowns, Modestas Bukauskas scores a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rounds while Michal Oleksiejczuk is averaging a takedown 1.05 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Bukauskas connects on 3.56 strikes per min and landing 37% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Michal Oleksiejczuk, who tags his opponent on 56% of the strikes he attempts and connects for an average of 4.83 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Omar Morales is set to face off against Shane Young. Young walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 13-5-0. The 27-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Morales measures in at 5'11" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 10-1-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 73". When it comes to takedowns, Shane Young thwarts 64% of his opponents' takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 25% of the times he tries. Morales is finishing his takedowns on 70% of his tries and is able to deflect 80% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Young takes 5.15 strikes per min and he is landing 6.01 strikes per minute. Morales, at the same time, is taking 2.99 strikes per minute and deals 3.39 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Abubakar Nurmagomedov (-230)

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