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Jared Cannonier vs Kelvin Gastelum Pick, 8/21/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 34 Odds

by Tony Sink - 8/17/2021

ufc picks Jared Cannonier predictions best bet odds

Jared Cannonier vs Kelvin Gastelum

UFC Vegas 34

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, August 21, 2021

Jared Cannonier will face off against Kelvin Gastelum at UFC Vegas 34 on Saturday, August 21, 2021. The opening moneyline has Cannonier priced at -172 while Gastelum is at +140.

Jared "The Killa Gorilla" Cannonier will be looking to add a win to his record of 13-5-0. The 37-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and stands 5'11". The switch fighter stretches 77". Kelvin Gastelum stands in at 5'9" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 17-7-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 71". When talking about significant strikes, Jared Cannonier connects on 3.70 per minute while Kelvin Gastelum is landing 3.52 significant strikes per min. Cannonier is landing 52% of the significant strikes he throws while Gastelum connects on 42%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "The Killa Gorilla" takes 3.09 significant strikes per minute while Gastelum absorbs 3.24. Cannonier also stops 64% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Gastelum is able to curb 57% of the shots thrown.

 

UFC Vegas 34 Jared Cannonier Kelvin Gastelum
Opening Odds -172 +140
Record 13-5-0 17-7-0
Average Fight Time 8:47 12:58
Height 5'11" 5'9"
Weight 185 lbs 185 lbs
Reach 77" 71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.70 3.52
Striking Accuracy 52% 42%

 

In the category of takedowns, Jared Cannonier is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.16 times per 3 rounds. Cannonier is taking his opponents to the canvas on 33% of his attempts and defending 54% of the tries against him. Gastelum is scoring a takedown on 37% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 62% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Cannonier is the more capable of the two fighters by attempting 0.4 subs per 15 min while Gastelum tries 0.1 subs per 15 minutes.

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In his last fight, Jared Cannonier fought Robert Whittaker and ended up walking away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 3. Whittaker ended up landing 75 of 158 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Cannonier finished this fight landing 58 of 94 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Whittaker landed 69 of 151, which means his percentage was 45%. He ended up landing 59 of 138 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Cannonier ended up landing 59% of his significant strikes by sticking 53 of 89. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 17 of 46 to the head. 89% of the significant strikes landed by Whittaker and 92% of them connected on by Cannonier were thrown at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Kelvin Gastelum, he fought Robert Whittaker and walked away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 5. Whittaker ended up landing 92% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Gastelum ended up connecting on 95% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Gastelum connected on 29% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 62 of 209. He landed 42 of 185 significant strikes to the head. Whittaker connected on 150 of 284 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 115 of 241 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes attempted in that contest, Whittaker landed 169 of 303 and Gastelum connected on 70 of 218 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Clay Guida faces off with Mark Madsen. Guida holds a record of 36-17-0. The 39-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 70". Madsen stands in at 5'8" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 10-0-0. The 36-year-old has a reach of 72". In terms of takedowns, Clay Guida is averaging a takedown 3.36 times per 15 min while Mark Madsen takes his opponents to the canvas 8.33 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Guida lands 2.44 strikes/min and connecting on 34% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Mark Madsen, who connects on 42% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 2.28 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Chase Sherman is set to square up with Parker Porter. Porter comes into this bout with a mark of 11-6-0. The 36-year-old is fighting at 265 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter stretches 75". Sherman measures in at 6'4" and weighs 250 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 15-7-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 78". Regarding wrestling, Parker Porter is able to stop 50% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedown tries on 60% of the times he tries. Sherman is finishing his takedowns on 40% of the attempts he tries and stops 77% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the matter of striking, Porter takes 7.36 strikes/min while he deals 7.69 per min. Sherman, on the other side, is absorbing 5.77 strikes/minute and is connecting on 6.00 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Jared Cannonier (-172)

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