Islam Makhachev vs Thiago Moises Pick, 7/17/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 31 Odds

by Tony Sink - 7/12/2021

ufc picks Islam Makhachev predictions best bet odds

Islam Makhachev vs Thiago Moises

UFC Vegas 31

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 17, 2021

Islam Makhachev will face off against Thiago Moises at UFC Vegas 31 on Saturday, July 17, 2021. The opening odds have Makhachev priced at -750 while Moises is at +490.

Islam Makhachev Makhachev walks into the cage with a mark of 19-1-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter stretches 70". Thiago Moises measures in at 5'9" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 15-4-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 70". When talking about significant strikes, Islam Makhachev is landing 2.00 per minute while Thiago Moises is connecting on 2.85 significant strikes per minute. Makhachev is connecting on 56% of the significant strikes he tries while Moises connects on 37%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, Makhachev absorbs 0.77 significant strikes per min while Moises allows 3.88. Makhachev also thwarts 70% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Moises curbs 60% of the shots thrown.

UFC Vegas 31	Islam Makhachev	Thiago Moises
Opening Odds	-750	+490
Record	19-1-0	15-4-0
Average Fight Time	9:38	12:07
Height	5'10"	5'9"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	70"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.00	2.85
Striking Accuracy	56%	37%

In the wrestling category, Islam Makhachev is the more efficient grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 3.46 times per 15 min. Makhachev is scoring a takedown on 68% of his tries and is stuffing 93% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Moises is scoring a takedown on 33% of the takedowns he tries and defending 63% of the tries against him. When it comes to submission attempts, Makhachev is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 1.0 submission per 15 min while Moises attempts 1.2 finishes per 15 minutes.

In his previous bout, Islam Makhachev fought Drew Dober and got a win for the night by way of an arm triangle from half guard in round 3. Dober landed 14 of 24 total strikes that he let go. Makhachev walked away from this fight having landed 102 of 119 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Dober ended up landing 10 of 20, which gave him a rate of 50%. He finished the fight landing 5 of 15 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Makhachev landed 60% of his significant strikes by sticking 15 of 25. Of those significant strikes, he landed 12 of 22 pointed at the head. 60% of the significant strikes landed by Dober and 33% of them connected on by Makhachev were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Thiago Moises, he went up against Alexander Hernandez and took home the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Hernandez landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Moises landed 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Moises landed 28% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 53 of 183. He landed 36 of 155 significant strikes aimed at the head. Hernandez ended up connecting on 50 of 205 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 15 of 152 to the head. Regarding the total strikes thrown in this fight, Hernandez ended up landing 50 of 205 while Moises was 53 of 183 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Jeremy Stephens faces off against Mateusz Gamrot. Stephens comes into this fight with a mark of 28-18-0. The 35-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Gamrot stands 5'10" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a record of 18-1-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 70". In terms of takedowns, Jeremy Stephens is able to score a takedown 1.16 times per 15 min and Mateusz Gamrot takes his opponents to the mat 4.91 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Stephens tags his opponents 3.18 strikes/min and connecting on 40% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Mateusz Gamrot, who tags his opponent on 48% of the strikes he has attempted and is landing 4.26 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Dustin Stoltzfus is set to face off with Rodolfo Vieira. Vieira looks to add a win to his career record of 7-1-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter stretches 73". Stoltzfus measures in at 6'0" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 13-2-0. The 29-year-old reaches 75". In terms of grappling, Rodolfo Vieira is able to deflect 20% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedown tries on 47% of his tries. Stoltzfus is taking his opponents to the mat on 12% of his attempts and deflects 62% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Vieira is taking 3.06 strikes/minute while he is dealing 1.66 per minute. Stoltzfus, on the contrary, takes 3.93 strikes/min and is landing 2.48 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Islam Makhachev (-750)

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