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Islam Makhachev vs Drew Dober Pick, 3/6/2021 Predictions UFC 259 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 3/2/2021

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Islam Makhachev vs Drew Dober

UFC 259

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 6, 2021

Islam Makhachev will face off against Drew Dober at UFC 259 on Saturday, March 6, 2021. The moneyline has Makhachev coming in at -335 while Dober is coming in at +275.

Islam Makhachev walks into the cage holding a mark of 18-1-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 70". Drew Dober stands 5'8" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 23-9-0. The 32-year-old has a reach of 70". Regarding significant strikes, Islam Makhachev is connecting on 2.10 per minute while Drew Dober is landing 4.66 significant strikes per min. Makhachev lands 56% of the significant strikes he throws and Dober is landing 40%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, Makhachev allows 0.76 significant strikes per min while Dober absorbs 4.12. Makhachev also prevents 72% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Dober defends against 55% of the shots thrown his way.

 

UFC 259 Islam Makhachev Drew Dober
Opening Odds -335 +275
Record 18-1-0 23-9-0
Average Fight Time 9:23 7:30
Height 5'10" 5'8"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 70" 70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.10 4.66
Striking Accuracy 56% 40%

 

Concerning takedowns, Islam Makhachev is the better grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 3.40 times per 3 rounds. Makhachev is getting his opponent to the mat on 68% of his attempts and stuffing 93% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Dober is finishing his takedown attempts on 17% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 58% of the attempts against him. In terms of submission attempts, Makhachev is the more experienced submission fighter by going for 0.8 subs per 3 rds while Dober looks to get 0.1 subs per 15 min.

The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Islam Makhachev faced Davi Ramos and ended up getting the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Ramos ended up landing 27 of 80 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Makhachev ended the night having landed 88 of 148 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Ramos ended up landing 7 of 58, which gave him a rate of 12%. He ended up landing 5 of 43 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Makhachev ended up landing 45% of his significant strikes by connecting on 43 of 95. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 32 of 81 aimed at the head. 71% of the significant strikes connected on by Ramos and 67% of them connected on by Makhachev were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Drew Dober, he went up against Alexander Hernandez and ended up getting the victory in the fight via a punch to the head in round 2. Hernandez landed 82% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Dober landed 88% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Dober landed 42% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 61 of 145. He landed 48 of 126 significant strikes directed at the head. Hernandez ended up landing 34 of 108 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 22 of 88 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that contest, Hernandez ended up landing 41 of 115 and Dober was 65 of 149 total strikes.

Other fights to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Thiago Santos enters the Octagon against Aleksandar Rakic. Santos will be looking to add a win to his record of 21-8-0. The 37-year-old weighs in at 205 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 76". Rakic measures 6'4" and weighs 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 13-2-0. The 29-year-old stretches 78". In the grappling category, Thiago Santos takes his opponents to the canvas 0.77 times per 15 minutes and Aleksandar Rakic scores a takedown 0.93 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Santos connects on 4.36 strikes/minute and is landing 48% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Aleksandar Rakic, who is connecting on 54% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 4.66 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Casey Kenney is set to go up against Dominick Cruz. Cruz steps into the cage with a mark of 22-3-0. The 35-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 68". Kenney measures in at 5'7" and will fight at 140 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 16-2-1. The 29-year-old extends his reach 68". When it comes to takedowns, Dominick Cruz deflects 83% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 48% of his tries. Kenney is finishing his takedown tries on 42% of his tries and deflects 56% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Cruz absorbs 2.28 strikes per min and he connects on 3.52 strikes per minute. Kenney, moreover, takes 4.07 strikes/minute and is connecting on 4.79 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Islam Makhachev (-335)

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