Ion Cutelaba vs Dustin Jacoby Pick, 5/1/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 25 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/27/2021

Ion Cutelaba vs Dustin Jacoby

UFC Vegas 25

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, May 1, 2021

Ion Cutelaba will face off with Dustin Jacoby at UFC Vegas 25 on Saturday, May 1, 2021. The moneyline has Cutelaba coming in at -130 while Jacoby is priced at +110.

Ion "The Hulk" Cutelaba walks into the cage with a record of 15-6-0. The 27-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and measures 6'1". The southpaw fighter reaches 75". Dustin "The Hanyak" Jacoby comes in at 6'3" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 14-5-0. The 33-year-old stretches 76". Regarding significant strikes, Ion Cutelaba connects on 5.10 per minute and Dustin Jacoby lands 3.68 significant strikes per min. Cutelaba is landing 39% of the significant strikes he attempts while Jacoby is landing 46%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "The Hulk" takes 3.37 significant strikes per min while "The Hanyak" allows 2.94. Cutelaba also prevents 48% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Jacoby defends against 61% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

UFC Vegas 25	Ion Cutelaba	Dustin Jacoby
Opening Odds	-130	+110
Record	15-6-0	14-5-0
Average Fight Time	6:55	11:13
Height	6'1"	6'3"
Weight	205 lbs	205 lbs
Reach	75"	76"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.10	3.68
Striking Accuracy	39%	46%

In terms of grappling, Ion Cutelaba is the more capable grappler as he is able to score a takedown 2.41 times per 3 rounds. Cutelaba is finishing his takedown attempts on 71% of the times he tries and defending 80% of the takedowns his opponents try. Jacoby is scoring a takedown on 80% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 70% of the attempts against him. Regarding submission attempts, Cutelaba is the more skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.4 finishes per 3 rounds while Jacoby looks to get 0.2 finishes per 15 minutes.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Ion Cutelaba faced Magomed Ankalaev and walked away with a loss by a punch to the head in round 1. Ankalaev ended up landing 21 of 41 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Cutelaba finished this fight landing 11 of 36 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Ankalaev landed 21 of 41, giving him a percentage of 51%. He landed 17 of 36 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Cutelaba ended up landing 30% of his significant strikes by landing 11 of 36. Of all the significant strikes, he was 5 of 27 pointed at the head. 66% of the significant strikes landed by Ankalaev and 100% of them landed by Cutelaba were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Dustin Jacoby, he battled Maxim Grishin and wound up taking home the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Grishin ended up connecting on 89% of his significant strikes at distance while Jacoby connected on 96% of his significant strikes at distance. Jacoby landed 41% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 57 of 137. He landed 25 of 88 significant strikes directed at the head. Grishin ended up landing 66 of 156 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 31 of 110 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Grishin connected on 80 of 172 while Jacoby was 60 of 141 total strikes.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Sean Strickland squares up in the Octagon against Krzysztof Jotko. Strickland has a career mark of 22-3-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and measures 6'1". The orthodox fighter stretches 76". Jotko measures in at 6'1" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a career record of 22-4-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 77". In terms of takedowns, Sean Strickland scores a takedown 1.26 times per 3 rounds while Krzysztof Jotko takes his opponents to the canvas 1.27 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Strickland lands 5.09 strikes per min and is connecting on 38% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Krzysztof Jotko, who tags the opposition on 45% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 2.98 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Cody Stamann is set to battle Merab Dvalishvili. Dvalishvili looks to add a win to his total of 12-4-0. The 30-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 68". Stamann stands 5'6" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 19-3-1. The 31-year-old reaches 64". In terms of wrestling, Merab Dvalishvili deflects 80% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is getting his opponent to the mat on 43% of his tries. Stamann is finishing his takedown tries on 46% of his tries and is able to stop 80% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Dvalishvili is taking 2.08 strikes/minute while he deals 3.91 strikes/minute. Stamann, at the same time, takes 3.18 strikes per min and is landing 4.14 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Ion Cutelaba (-130)

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Ion Cutelaba vs Dustin Jacoby Pick, 5/1/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 25 Odds

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