Eddie Wineland vs John Castaneda Pick, 2/20/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 19 Odds

Eddie Wineland vs John Castaneda

UFC Vegas 19

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, February 20, 2021

Eddie Wineland will face off against John Castaneda at UFC Vegas 19 on Saturday, February 20, 2021. The line has Wineland at +110 while Castaneda is at -130.

Eddie Wineland comes into this fight with a mark of 24-14-1. The 36-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". John "Sexy Mexi" Castaneda stands in at 5'6" and will fight at 135 lbs. The switch fighter holds a career record of 17-5-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 71". Concerning significant strikes, Eddie Wineland is connecting on 3.39 per minute and John Castaneda connects on 3.43 significant strikes per min. Wineland is connecting on 29% of the significant strikes he tries and Castaneda is landing 44%. Concerning their defense in the cage, Wineland takes 3.54 significant strikes per minute and "Sexy Mexi" allows 5.30. Wineland also defends against 69% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Castaneda is able to curb 51% of the shots thrown his way.

Regarding grappling, Eddie Wineland is the not as competent as a wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.28 times per 3 rounds. Wineland is finishing his takedown attempts on 28% of his attempts and thwarting 86% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Castaneda is finishing his takedown attempts on 25% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 66% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Wineland is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.1 sub per 15 minutes while Castaneda goes for 0.4 subs per 15 minutes.

In his last bout, Eddie Wineland went up against Sean O'Malley and was defeated by a punch to the head in round 1. O'Malley ended up landing 13 of 20 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Wineland finished this fight landing 4 of 7 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, O'Malley landed 13 of 20, which gave him a percentage of 65%. He landed 5 of 10 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Wineland ended up landing 57% of his significant strikes by landing 4 of 7. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 3 of 5 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by O'Malley and 100% of them landed by Wineland were done at a distance.

In the last bout for John Castaneda, he squared up with Nathaniel Wood and wound up losing the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Wood ended up landing 93% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Castaneda connected on 96% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Castaneda landed 42% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 55 of 130. He ended up connecting on 35 of 108 significant strikes to the head. Wood connected on 131 of 232 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 59 of 143 to the head. In relation to the strikes he fired off in this contest, Wood landed 136 of 240 and Castaneda connected on 66 of 141 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Nate Landwehr takes on Julian Erosa. Landwehr has a career mark of 14-3-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Erosa measures in at 6'1" and will fight at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 24-9-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 74". In the grappling category, Nate Landwehr scores a takedown 0.70 times per 3 rounds while Julian Erosa gets a takedown 1.34 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Landwehr connects for an average of 6.89 strikes per min and landing 50% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Julian Erosa, who connects on 46% of the strikes that he throws and lands an average of 4.92 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Jamall Emmers is set to square up in the Octagon with Chas Skelly. Skelly steps into the Octagon with a mark of 18-3-0. The 35-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Emmers measures in at 5'10" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 18-5-0. The 31-year-old reaches 74". Regarding takedowns, Chas Skelly curbs 33% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is scoring a takedown on 34% of his attempts. Emmers is taking his opponents to the mat on 53% of his tries and curbs 70% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Skelly absorbs 3.35 strikes per minute and he is landing 2.02 strikes per min. Emmers, on the other hand, is absorbing 4.65 strikes/min and dishes out 5.75 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take John Castaneda (-130)

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