Dustin Poirier vs Conor McGregor Pick, 7/10/2021 Predictions UFC 264 Odds

by Tony Sink - 7/6/2021

ufc picks Conor McGregor predictions best bet odds

Dustin Poirier vs Conor McGregor

UFC 264

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 10, 2021

Dustin Poirier will face off with Conor McGregor at UFC 264 on Saturday, July 10, 2021. The moneyline has Poirier priced at -122 while McGregor is priced at +100.

Dustin "The Diamond" Poirier comes into this bout with a record of 27-6-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures 5'9". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 72". Conor "The Notorious" McGregor stands in at 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 22-5-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 74". In the category of significant strikes, Dustin Poirier connects on 5.59 per min and Conor McGregor is connecting on 5.32 significant strikes per min. Poirier connects on 50% of the significant strikes he attempts while McGregor is landing 49%. Regarding defense, "The Diamond" takes 4.17 significant strikes per min and "The Notorious" allows 4.54. Poirier also curbs 54% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and McGregor defends against 54% of the shots thrown in his direction.

UFC 264	Dustin Poirier	Conor McGregor
Opening Odds	-122	+100
Record	27-6-0	22-5-0
Average Fight Time	10:11	8:16
Height	5'9"	5'9"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	72"	74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.59	5.32
Striking Accuracy	50%	49%

Regarding takedowns, Dustin Poirier is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he takes his opponents down 1.47 times per 15 minutes. Poirier is finishing his takedown attempts on 36% of the times he tries and is stopping 61% of all takedowns attempted on him. McGregor is taking his opponents to the canvas on 55% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 67% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Poirier is the more experienced submission fighter by trying 1.3 finishes per 3 rounds while McGregor attempts 0.7 finishes per 3 rds.

In his previous bout, Dustin Poirier fought Conor McGregor and wound up taking home the win by a punch to the head in round 2. McGregor ended up landing 52 of 92 total strikes that he let go. Poirier walked away from this fight having landed 53 of 98 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, McGregor landed 29 of 66, giving him a percentage of 43%. He finished the fight landing 23 of 60 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Poirier ended up landing 52% of his significant strikes by sticking 48 of 91. Of those significant strikes, he landed 30 of 69 to the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by McGregor and 95% of them connected on by Poirier were thrown at a distance.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Gilbert Burns enters the Octagon against Stephen Thompson. Burns holds a career mark of 19-4-0. The 34-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Thompson comes in at 6'0" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 16-4-1. The 38-year-old extends his reach 75". When it comes to grappling, Gilbert Burns is averaging a takedown 2.08 times per 15 min and Stephen Thompson takes his opponents down 0.32 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Burns tags his opponents 3.22 strikes/minute and is connecting on 45% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Stephen Thompson, who connects on 43% of the strikes he has attempted and connects for an average of 4.24 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Greg Hardy is set to clash with Tai Tuivasa. Tuivasa will be looking to add a win to his career record of 12-3-0. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 264 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 75". Hardy measures in at 6'5" and weighs 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 7-3-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 80". In the category of takedowns, Tai Tuivasa is thwarting 46% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents down on 20% of the times he tries. Hardy is finishing his takedowns on 33% of his tries and deflects 80% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the matter of striking, Tuivasa takes 3.44 strikes per minute and he is landing 4.38 strikes/min. Hardy, in contrast, is absorbing 3.12 strikes per min and dishes out 4.83 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Dustin Poirier (-122)

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Dustin Poirier vs Conor McGregor Pick, 7/10/2021 Predictions UFC 264 Odds

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