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Don'Tale Mayes vs Josh Parisian Pick, 12/18/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 45 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 12/10/2021

ufc picks Josh Parisian predictions best bet odds

Don'Tale Mayes vs Josh Parisian

UFC Vegas 45

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 18, 2021

Don'Tale Mayes will face off against Josh Parisian at UFC Vegas 45 on Saturday, December 18, 2021. The opener has Mayes at -200 while Parisian is coming in at +170.

Don'Tale "Lord Kong" Mayes comes into this bout with a mark of 8-4-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 260 lbs and stands in at 6'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 81". Josh Parisian stands in at 6'4" and is weighing in at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 14-4-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 79". Concerning significant strikes, Don'Tale Mayes is landing 4.13 per min and Josh Parisian is connecting on 6.53 significant strikes per min. Mayes lands 45% of the significant strikes he attempts while Parisian is connecting on 50%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Lord Kong" allows 4.46 significant strikes per min and Parisian absorbs 6.13. Mayes also thwarts 43% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Parisian is able to deflect 43% of the shots thrown in his direction.

 

UFC Vegas 45 Don'Tale Mayes Josh Parisian
Opening Odds -200 +170
Record 8-4-0 14-4-0
Average Fight Time 10:59 8:49
Height 6'6" 6'4"
Weight 260 lbs 265 lbs
Reach 81" 79"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.13 6.53
Striking Accuracy 45% 50%

 

Concerning takedowns, Don'Tale Mayes is not as effective of a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.23 times per 3 rds. Mayes is finishing his takedown attempts on 20% of his tries and stopping 59% of all takedown attempts. Parisian is scoring a takedown on 14% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 66% of the attempts against him. Regarding sub attempts, Mayes is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 0.2 submissions per 15 min while Parisian goes for 0.4 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his previous bout, Don'Tale Mayes squared up with Roque Martinez and ended up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Martinez landed 96 of 152 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Mayes finished this fight landing 80 of 158 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Martinez landed 58 of 111, giving him a percentage of 52%. He finished the fight landing 30 of 76 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Mayes landed 43% of his significant strikes by connecting on 59 of 135. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 34 of 100 to the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Martinez and 91% of them landed by Mayes were done at distance.

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In the last bout for Josh Parisian, he faced off with Roque Martinez and got a win for the night via split decision in round 3. Martinez ended up landing 60% of his significant strikes at distance and Parisian ended up landing 62% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Parisian connected on 49% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 79 of 160. He landed 43 of 118 significant strikes directed at the head. Martinez connected on 64 of 114 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 48 of 98 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go in that fight, Martinez landed 245 of 309 and Parisian connected on 100 of 186 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Jordan Leavitt encounters Matt Sayles. Leavitt walks into the Octagon with a mark of 8-1-0. The 26-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 71". Sayles stands in at 5'7" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 8-3-0. The 27-year-old has an arm span of 68". When it comes to grappling, Jordan Leavitt gets his opposition to the mat 3.06 times per 15 minutes while Matt Sayles takes his opponents to the mat 0.70 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Leavitt lands 1.33 strikes/minute and is landing 60% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Matt Sayles, who lands 42% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 5.44 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Angela Hill is set to square up against Amanda Lemos. Lemos walks into the Octagon holding a record of 10-1-1. The 34-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'4". The southpaw fighter stretches 65". Hill comes in at 5'3" and is fighting at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 13-10-0. The 36-year-old stretches 64". In terms of grappling, Amanda Lemos is preventing 80% of her opponents takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 80% of her tries. Hill is taking her opponents to the mat on 34% of her tries and is able to defend against 77% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Lemos is absorbing 5.38 strikes/min while she is landing 6.32 per min. Hill, on the contrary, is absorbing 5.25 strikes per minute and deals 5.71 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Don'Tale Mayes (-200)

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