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Dominick Cruz vs Casey Kenney Pick, 3/6/2021 Predictions UFC 259 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/2/2021

casey kenney ufc

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Dominick Cruz vs Casey Kenney

UFC 259

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 6, 2021

Dominick Cruz will face off with Casey Kenney at UFC 259 on Saturday, March 6, 2021. The opening moneyline has Cruz priced at +110 while Kenney is at -130.

Dominick "The Dominator" Cruz steps into the cage with a mark of 22-3-0. The 35-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 68". Casey Kenney measures in at 5'7" and will fight at 140 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 16-2-1. The 29-year-old extends his reach 68". Regarding significant strikes, Dominick Cruz lands 3.52 per minute and Casey Kenney lands 4.79 significant strikes per min. Cruz is landing 32% of the significant strikes he throws and Kenney lands 43%. Regarding defense, "The Dominator" absorbs 2.28 significant strikes per min and Kenney allows 4.07. Cruz also deflects 73% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Kenney is able to deflect 59% of the shots thrown in his direction.

 

UFC 259 Dominick Cruz Casey Kenney
Opening Odds +110 -130
Record 22-3-0 16-2-1
Average Fight Time 17:04 13:30
Height 5'8" 5'7"
Weight 135 lbs 140 lbs
Reach 68" 68"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.52 4.79
Striking Accuracy 32% 43%

 

Regarding takedowns, Dominick Cruz is the more capable grappler as he scores a takedown 3.05 times per 15 minutes. Cruz is getting his opponent to the mat on 48% of his attempts and stopping 83% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Kenney is scoring a takedown on 42% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 56% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Cruz is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.1 subs per 15 min while Kenney goes for 0.6 subs per 3 rounds.

In his previous bout, Dominick Cruz faced Henry Cejudo and walked away with a loss by a knee to the head in round 2. Cejudo ended up landing 56 of 86 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Cruz walked away from this fight having landed 33 of 81 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Cejudo ended up landing 53 of 83, giving him a percentage of 63%. He landed 24 of 50 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Cruz ended up landing 40% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 33 of 81. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 15 of 58 to the head. 83% of the significant strikes landed by Cejudo and 93% of them landed by Cruz were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Casey Kenney, he squared up with Nathaniel Wood and wound up getting the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Wood ended up landing 98% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Kenney ended up connecting on 95% of his significant strikes at distance. Kenney landed 49% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 123 of 247. He ended up landing 74 of 189 significant strikes aimed at the head. Wood connected on 136 of 321 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 70 of 237 to the head. When discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Wood ended up landing 138 of 325 and Kenney landed 125 of 249 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Song Yadong enters the Octagon against Kyler Phillips. Yadong looks to add a win to his record of 16-4-1. The 23-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 67". Phillips measures 5'8" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 8-1-0. The 25-year-old extends his reach 72". In terms of takedowns, Song Yadong is averaging a takedown 0.73 times per 3 rounds and Kyler Phillips takes his opponents down 2.79 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Yadong lands 4.32 strikes per minute and connects on 42% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Kyler Phillips, who connects on 49% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 6.28 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Askar Askarov is set to face off against Joseph Benavidez. Benavidez steps into the cage holding a record of 28-7-0. The 36-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and measures in at 5'4". The southpaw fighter stretches 65". Askarov measures in at 5'6" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 12-0-1. The 28-year-old extends his reach 67". When it comes to takedowns, Joseph Benavidez is able to defend against 65% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedowns on 30% of his tries. Askarov is taking his opponents down on 18% of the attempts he tries and is able to deflect 64% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Benavidez absorbs 2.62 strikes per min and he is dealing 3.54 strikes/min. Askarov, on the other hand, absorbs 2.51 strikes/minute and is connecting on 3.20 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Dominick Cruz (+110)

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