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Diego Ferreira vs Gregor Gillespie Pick, 5/8/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 26 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/5/2021

Diego Ferreira UFC

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Diego Ferreira vs Gregor Gillespie

UFC Vegas 26

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, May 8, 2021

Diego Ferreira will enter the Octagon with Gregor Gillespie at UFC Vegas 26 on Saturday, May 8, 2021. The moneyline has Ferreira coming in at +155 while Gillespie is coming in at -175.

Diego Ferreira comes into this fight holding a mark of 17-3-0. The 36-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 74". Gregor "The Gift" Gillespie comes in at 5'7" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 13-1-0. The 34-year-old has an arm span of 71". In terms of significant strikes, Diego Ferreira is connecting on 4.85 per minute while Gregor Gillespie connects on 3.58 significant strikes per minute. Ferreira is connecting on 37% of the significant strikes he tries while Gillespie is connecting on 49%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, Ferreira takes 3.26 significant strikes per min while "The Gift" absorbs 2.14. Ferreira also stops 58% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Gillespie prevents 60% of them.

 

UFC Vegas 26 Diego Ferreira Gregor Gillespie
Opening Odds +155 -175
Record 17-3-0 13-1-0
Average Fight Time 9:13 7:01
Height 5'9" 5'7"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 74" 71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.85 3.58
Striking Accuracy 37% 49%

 

Concerning takedowns, Diego Ferreira is not as efficient of a grappler as he gets a takedown 0.89 times per 15 min. Ferreira is finishing his takedown attempts on 26% of the times he tries and is stopping 68% of all takedown tries against him. Gillespie is scoring a takedown on 47% of his takedown attempts and defending 40% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Ferreira is the more skilled technician by attempting 0.9 subs per 15 minutes while Gillespie goes for 0.8 subs per 3 rounds.

In his previous bout, Diego Ferreira fought Beneil Dariush and was on the losing end of this fight by split decision in round 3. Dariush landed 74 of 132 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Ferreira ended the night having landed 74 of 145 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Dariush landed 62 of 116, which gave him a rate of 53%. He finished the fight landing 46 of 98 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Ferreira landed 44% of his significant strikes by connecting on 54 of 121. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 43 of 104 aimed at the head. 82% of the significant strikes landed by Dariush and 83% of them connected on by Ferreira were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Gregor Gillespie, he faced off with Kevin Lee and took a loss on the night via a kick to the head in round 1. Lee landed 95% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Gillespie landed 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Gillespie ended up connecting on 19% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 9 of 46. He ended up landing 8 of 45 significant strikes aimed at the head. Lee landed 21 of 59 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 19 of 55 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Lee was 21 of 59 while Gillespie was 9 of 46 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Ben Rothwell faces off with Philipe Lins. Rothwell walks into the Octagon with a mark of 38-13-0. The 39-year-old is fighting at 265 lbs and stands 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78". Lins measures in at 6'2" and records a weight of 240 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 14-5-0. The 35-year-old has a reach of 78". In terms of takedowns, Ben Rothwell gets his opposition to the mat 0.63 times per 15 minutes while Philipe Lins is able to score a takedown 0.20 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Rothwell lands 3.55 strikes per minute and is landing 41% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Philipe Lins, who is connecting on 40% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 2.66 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Kyle Daukaus is set to go up against Phil Hawes. Hawes steps into the Octagon with a record of 10-2-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 77". Daukaus measures 6'3" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 10-1-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 76". In terms of grappling, Phil Hawes curbs 60% of his opponents' takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 35% of the times he tries. Daukaus is taking his opponents to the mat on 41% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 94% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Hawes is absorbing 4.18 strikes/minute while he deals 2.84 per min. Daukaus, in contrast, absorbs 2.16 strikes/minute and is dishing out 3.69 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Diego Ferreira (+155)

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