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Devonte Smith vs Justin Jaynes Pick, 2/6/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 18 Odds

by Tony Sink - 2/4/2021

justin jaynes ufc

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Devonte Smith vs Justin Jaynes

UFC Vegas 18

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, February 6, 2021

Devonte Smith will face off against Justin Jaynes at UFC Vegas 18 on Saturday, February 6, 2021. The opening moneyline has Smith priced at -280 while Jaynes is coming in at +240.

Devonte "King Kage" Smith looks to add a victory to his record of 10-2-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 76". Justin "The Guitar Hero" Jaynes comes in at 5'7" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 16-6-0. The 31-year-old reaches 68". When talking about significant strikes, Devonte Smith is landing 6.88 per min and Justin Jaynes is connecting on 4.79 significant strikes per min. Smith lands 56% of the significant strikes he tries while Jaynes connects on 43%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "King Kage" absorbs 3.65 significant strikes per minute and "The Guitar Hero" allows 7.82. Smith also deflects 59% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Jaynes thwarts 60% of the shots thrown.

 

UFC Vegas 18 Devonte Smith Justin Jaynes
Opening Odds -280 +240
Record 10-2-0 16-6-0
Average Fight Time 2:57 5:30
Height 5'9" 5'7"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 76" 68"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.88 4.79
Striking Accuracy 56% 43%

 

Regarding grappling, Devonte Smith is the more skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.60 times per 3 rounds. Smith is scoring a takedown on 45% of his attempts and thwarting 70% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Jaynes is finishing his takedown attempts on 38% of his takedown tries and is stopping 50% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Smith is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.5 subs per 15 min while Jaynes looks to get 0.9 subs per 3 rounds.

In his last bout, Devonte Smith went up against Khama Worthy and wound up losing the fight by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Worthy ended up landing 21 of 51 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Smith walked away from this fight having landed 15 of 27 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Worthy landed 21 of 51, which gave him a rate of 41%. He ended up landing 9 of 30 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Smith landed 55% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 15 of 27. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 3 of 13 pointed at the head. 85% of the significant strikes landed by Worthy and 100% of them connected on by Smith were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Justin Jaynes, he battled Gabriel Benitez and ended up taking the loss by way of a knee to the body in round 1. Benitez ended up landing 89% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Jaynes connected on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Jaynes ended up landing 42% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 22 of 52. He landed 16 of 44 significant strikes aimed at the head. Benitez connected on 38 of 104 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 20 of 83 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Benitez ended up connecting on 38 of 104 and Jaynes was 22 of 52 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Seung Woo Choi enters the Octagon with Youssef Zalal. Woo Choi steps into the cage with a record of 8-3-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and stands 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 74". Zalal comes in at 5'10" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The switch fighter has a record of 10-3-0. The 24-year-old stretches 72". When it comes to grappling, Seung Woo Choi takes his opponents to the canvas 0.69 times per 15 minutes while Youssef Zalal takes his opponents down 2.25 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Woo Choi connects on 3.33 strikes/minute and is landing 42% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Youssef Zalal, who is landing 51% of the strikes he has tried and lands 2.68 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Jerome Rivera is set to encounter Ode Osbourne. Osbourne will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 8-3-0. The 29-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 73". Rivera measures 5'10" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 10-4-0. The 25-year-old extends his reach 72". Concerning wrestling, Ode Osbourne is able to deflect 66% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedowns on 80% of his attempts. Rivera is finishing his takedowns on 40% of the attempts he tries and is able to thwart 40% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Osbourne is absorbing 2.95 strikes/minute while he is dishing out 3.88 per minute. Rivera, on the other side, takes 2.36 strikes/min and deals 3.06 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Devonte Smith (-280)

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