Derrick Lewis vs Ciryl Gane Pick, 8/7/2021 Predictions UFC 265 Odds

by Tony Sink - 8/3/2021

Derrick Lewis vs Ciryl Gane

UFC 265

Toyota Center in Houston, TX

Saturday, August 7, 2021

Derrick Lewis will enter the Octagon with Ciryl Gane at UFC 265 on Saturday, August 7, 2021. The opening odds have Lewis priced at +300 while Gane is at -400.

Derrick "The Black Beast" Lewis walks into the Octagon with a mark of 25-7-0. The 36-year-old tips the scales at 260 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 79". Ciryl "Bon Gamin" Gane measures 6'4" and weighs in at 245 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 9-0-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 81". When talking about significant strikes, Derrick Lewis is connecting on 2.59 per min while Ciryl Gane lands 5.13 significant strikes per minute. Lewis connects on 50% of the significant strikes he throws while Gane lands 54%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Black Beast" takes 2.16 significant strikes per minute and "Bon Gamin" takes 2.60. Lewis also thwarts 44% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Gane is able to defend against 63% of them.

UFC 265	Derrick Lewis	Ciryl Gane
Opening Odds	+300	-400
Record	25-7-0	9-0-0
Average Fight Time	9:32	15:15
Height	6'3"	6'4"
Weight	260 lbs	245 lbs
Reach	79"	81"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.59	5.13
Striking Accuracy	50%	54%

When it comes to grappling, Derrick Lewis is the lesser skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.52 times per 3 rds. Lewis is finishing his takedown attempts on 26% of the times he tries and is stuffing 54% of the takedowns his opponents try. Gane is scoring a takedown on 21% of the takedowns he tries and defending 80% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to submission attempts, Lewis is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.1 subs per 15 min while Gane attempts 0.3 subs per 3 rds.

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The last time he fought, Derrick Lewis went up against Curtis Blaydes and wound up taking home the win via a punch to the head in round 2. Blaydes ended up landing 28 of 52 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Lewis finished this fight landing 7 of 23 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Blaydes ended up landing 28 of 52, which gave him a rate of 53%. He landed 18 of 42 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Lewis ended up landing 30% of his significant strikes by connecting on 7 of 23. Of those significant strikes, he was 6 of 21 aimed at the head. 89% of the significant strikes landed by Blaydes and 57% of them landed by Lewis were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Ciryl Gane, he squared up with Alexander Volkov and ended up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 5. Volkov ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Gane landed 99% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Gane ended up connecting on 52% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 135 of 255. He connected on 60 of 158 significant strikes aimed at the head. Volkov ended up connecting on 115 of 241 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 41 of 148 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes thrown in that contest, Volkov was 115 of 241 while Gane ended up landing 139 of 259 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Jose Aldo meets Pedro Munhoz. Aldo looks to add a victory to his total of 29-7-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Munhoz comes in at 5'6" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 19-5-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 65". When it comes to grappling, Jose Aldo takes his opponents down 0.57 times per 15 minutes and Pedro Munhoz takes his opponents to the canvas 0.68 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Aldo is connecting on 3.45 strikes per minute and connecting on 45% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Pedro Munhoz, who connects on 43% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 5.60 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Vicente Luque is set to battle Michael Chiesa. Chiesa will be looking to add a victory to his total of 18-4-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 75". Luque stands in at 5'11" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 20-7-1. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 75". Regarding takedowns, Michael Chiesa is stopping 68% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 52% of his attempts. Luque is taking his opponents down on 50% of his tries and deflects 65% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Chiesa is taking 1.71 strikes/min and he is dealing 1.89 strikes per minute. Luque, on the contrary, is absorbing 5.78 strikes per min and dishes out 5.74 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Derrick Lewis (+300)

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Derrick Lewis vs Ciryl Gane Pick, 8/7/2021 Predictions UFC 265 Odds

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