Derrick Lewis vs Chris Daukaus Pick, 12/18/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 45 Odds

by Tony Sink - 12/10/2021

ufc picks Derrick Lewis predictions best bet odds

Derrick Lewis vs Chris Daukaus

UFC Vegas 45

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 18, 2021

Derrick Lewis will battle Chris Daukaus at UFC Vegas 45 on Saturday, December 18, 2021. The odds have Lewis priced at +120 while Daukaus is priced at -140.

Derrick "The Black Beast" Lewis steps into the cage holding a record of 25-8-0. The 36-year-old records a weight of 260 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 79". Chris Daukaus stands 6'3" and is weighing in at 250 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 12-3-0. The 32-year-old reaches 76". In terms of significant strikes, Derrick Lewis is landing 2.49 per minute while Chris Daukaus connects on 9.03 significant strikes per min. Lewis lands 50% of the significant strikes he tries while Daukaus connects on 53%. In terms of defending in the cage, "The Black Beast" allows 2.48 significant strikes per minute and Daukaus takes 3.40. Lewis also stops 41% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Daukaus stops 64% of the shots thrown in his direction.

UFC Vegas 45	Derrick Lewis	Chris Daukaus
Opening Odds	+120	-140
Record	25-8-0	12-3-0
Average Fight Time	9:45	3:23
Height	6'3"	6'3"
Weight	260 lbs	250 lbs
Reach	79"	76"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.49	9.03
Striking Accuracy	50%	53%

In the grappling category, Derrick Lewis is the more apt grappler as he gets a takedown 0.49 times per 15 min. Lewis is scoring a takedown on 25% of the times he tries and thwarting 55% of the attempts against him. Daukaus is finishing his takedowns on 20% of his takedown tries and stopping 80% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to going for the sub, Lewis is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.5 finishes per 3 rounds while Daukaus goes for 0.7 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Derrick Lewis faced Ciryl Gane and ended up walking away in defeat by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 3. Gane ended up landing 112 of 136 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Lewis ended the night having landed 16 of 37 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Gane ended up landing 98 of 122, which gave him a percentage of 80%. He landed 50 of 69 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Lewis landed 43% of his significant strikes by connecting on 16 of 37. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 8 of 24 aimed at the head. 68% of the significant strikes landed by Gane and 93% of them landed by Lewis were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Chris Daukaus, he squared up with Shamil Abdurakhimov and wound up getting the win via a punch to the head in round 2. Abdurakhimov connected on 95% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Daukaus ended up connecting on 47% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Daukaus landed 40% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 38 of 93. He landed 34 of 88 significant strikes to the head. Abdurakhimov connected on 23 of 63 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 13 of 48 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Abdurakhimov connected on 23 of 63 and Daukaus was 38 of 93 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Stephen Thompson squares up against Belal Muhammad. Thompson will be looking to add a win to his career record of 16-5-1. The 38-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Muhammad measures 5'11" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 19-3-0. The 33-year-old stretches 72". Regarding grappling, Stephen Thompson takes his opponents down 0.30 times per 15 minutes and Belal Muhammad takes his opponents to the mat 1.80 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Thompson is landing 4.06 strikes per minute and landing 43% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Belal Muhammad, who tags the opposition on 42% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 4.61 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Ricky Simon is set to face off against Raphael Assuncao. Assuncao will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 27-8-0. The 39-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and comes in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter stretches 66". Simon stands 5'6" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 18-3-0. The 29-year-old reaches 69". Regarding takedowns, Raphael Assuncao stops 80% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents down on 38% of his tries. Simon is taking his opponents down on 54% of the tries he takes and is able to curb 72% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Assuncao absorbs 2.33 strikes per minute and he is dishing out 3.26 strikes per min. Simon, notwithstanding, takes 3.13 strikes/minute and lands 3.08 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Derrick Lewis (+120)

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Derrick Lewis vs Chris Daukaus Pick, 12/18/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 45 Odds

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