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Derek Brunson vs Kevin Holland Pick, 3/20/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 22 Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/16/2021

Derek Brunson UFC

Free Picks

Derek Brunson vs Kevin Holland

UFC Vegas 22

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 20, 2021

Derek Brunson will face off with Kevin Holland at UFC Vegas 22 on Saturday, March 20, 2021. The opening line has Brunson coming in at +145 while Holland is coming in at -165.

Derek Brunson comes into this fight with a record of 21-7-0. The 37-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and stands 6'1". The southpaw fighter reaches 77". Kevin "Trailblazer" Holland stands 6'3" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 21-5-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 81". Concerning significant strikes, Derek Brunson is landing 3.77 per min and Kevin Holland is connecting on 4.74 significant strikes per minute. Brunson is landing 47% of the significant strikes he throws while Holland connects on 57%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, Brunson absorbs 2.95 significant strikes per minute and "Trailblazer" absorbs 2.77. Brunson also stops 54% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Holland deflects 56% of the strikes thrown his way.

 

UFC Vegas 22 Derek Brunson Kevin Holland
Opening Odds +145 -165
Record 21-7-0 21-5-0
Average Fight Time 7:33 10:18
Height 6'1" 6'3"
Weight 185 lbs 185 lbs
Reach 77" 81"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.77 4.74
Striking Accuracy 47% 57%

 

Regarding grappling, Derek Brunson is the more capable wrestler as he scores a takedown 3.02 times per 15 min. Brunson is scoring a takedown on 31% of the times he tries and stuffing 100% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Holland is taking his opponents to the canvas on 42% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 52% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Brunson is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.4 submissions per 15 min while Holland attempts 0.8 submissions per 15 min.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Derek Brunson squared up with Edmen Shahbazyan and ended up getting the win by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 3. Shahbazyan landed 38 of 75 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Brunson finished this fight landing 107 of 164 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Shahbazyan ended up landing 35 of 72, which gave him a percentage of 48%. He finished the fight landing 17 of 50 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Brunson ended up landing 60% of his significant strikes by sticking 88 of 145. Of all the significant strikes, he was 58 of 106 to the head. 74% of the significant strikes connected on by Shahbazyan and 60% of them connected on by Brunson were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Kevin Holland, he faced off with Jacare Souza and ended up getting the victory in the fight by a punch to the head in round 1. Souza missed all of his significant strikes at distance and Holland landed 6% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Holland landed 83% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 15 of 18. He ended up landing 14 of 17 significant strikes directed at the head. Souza ended up connecting on 2 of 2 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 2 of 2 to the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that contest, Holland landed 21 of 24 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Gregor Gillespie faces off against Brad Riddell. Gillespie looks to add a victory to his total of 13-1-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 71". Riddell stands in at 5'7" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 9-1-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 71". In the grappling category, Gregor Gillespie is able to score a takedown 7.02 times per 3 rds while Brad Riddell is able to score a takedown 1.00 time per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Gillespie connects for an average of 3.58 strikes/min and connects on 49% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Brad Riddell, who lands 50% of the strikes he has tried and lands 4.36 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Don'Tale Mayes is set to go up against Tai Tuivasa. Tuivasa has a career mark of 11-3-0. The 28-year-old weighs in at 264 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 75". Mayes measures 6'6" and tips the scales at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 8-4-0. The 29-year-old reaches 81". In terms of wrestling, Tai Tuivasa is able to defend against 46% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown attempts on 30% of the times he tries. Mayes is taking his opponents to the mat on 20% of the tries he takes and is able to defend against 59% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Tuivasa absorbs 3.45 strikes/minute while he is landing 4.20 per minute. Mayes, on the contrary, is absorbing 4.46 strikes per minute and connects on 4.13 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Derek Brunson (+145)

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