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David Dvorak vs Raulian Paiva Pick, 5/22/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 27 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/17/2021

Raulian Paiva UFC

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David Dvorak vs Raulian Paiva

UFC Vegas 27

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, May 22, 2021

David Dvorak will enter the Octagon with Raulian Paiva at UFC Vegas 27 on Saturday, May 22, 2021. The odds have Dvorak priced at -145 while Paiva is at +125.

David "Undertaker" Dvorak looks to add a win to his record of 19-3-0. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands 5'5". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 68". Raulian Paiva measures 5'8" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 20-3-0. The 25-year-old reaches 69". When talking about significant strikes, David Dvorak is landing 4.50 per minute and Raulian Paiva connects on 4.46 significant strikes per minute. Dvorak is connecting on 48% of the significant strikes he throws and Paiva is connecting on 43%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Undertaker" absorbs 3.17 significant strikes per minute and Paiva absorbs 4.89. Dvorak also defends 63% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Paiva thwarts 51% of the strikes thrown his way.

 

UFC Vegas 27 David Dvorak Raulian Paiva
Opening Odds -145 +125
Record 19-3-0 20-3-0
Average Fight Time 15:00 11:32
Height 5'5" 5'8"
Weight 125 lbs 125 lbs
Reach 68" 69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.50 4.46
Striking Accuracy 48% 43%

 

Concerning grappling, David Dvorak is not as effective of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.10 times per 3 rds. Dvorak is taking his opponents to the canvas on 30% of his tries and thwarting 75% of the takedowns his opponents try. Paiva is taking his opponents to the canvas on 20% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 80% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to submission attempts, Dvorak is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.2 finishes per 15 minutes while Paiva tries 0.3 finishes per 15 minutes.

In his last fight, David Dvorak squared up with Jordan Espinosa and took home the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Espinosa ended up landing 50 of 162 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Dvorak finished this fight landing 69 of 147 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Espinosa landed 50 of 162, giving him a percentage of 30%. He finished the fight landing 16 of 119 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Dvorak landed 46% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 68 of 146. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 30 of 90 aimed at the head. 94% of the significant strikes landed by Espinosa and 89% of them connected on by Dvorak were tallied at distance.

In the last fight for Raulian Paiva, he went up against Zhalgas Zhumagulov and took home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Zhumagulov connected on 96% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Paiva landed 98% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Paiva landed 42% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 52 of 121. He connected on 14 of 71 significant strikes directed at the head. Zhumagulov ended up landing 66 of 119 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 19 of 61 to the head. In relation to total strikes thrown in that contest, Zhumagulov ended up landing 73 of 126 while Paiva ended up connecting on 56 of 125 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Jack Hermansson enters the Octagon with Edmen Shahbazyan. Hermansson looks to add a victory to his career total of 21-6-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and measures 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 77". Shahbazyan stands in at 6'2" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 11-1-0. The 23-year-old stretches 74". When it comes to grappling, Jack Hermansson takes his opponents to the canvas 1.96 times per 15 min while Edmen Shahbazyan gets a takedown 4.44 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Hermansson connects for an average of 5.03 strikes/min and is connecting on 44% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Edmen Shahbazyan, who is landing 51% of the strikes he has tried and is connecting on 3.85 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Bill Algeo is set to go up against Ricardo Ramos. Ramos walks into the cage with a record of 14-3-0. The 25-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Algeo measures in at 6'0" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 14-5-0. The 31-year-old stretches 73". Regarding wrestling, Ricardo Ramos is thwarting 71% of his opponents' takedown tries and is getting his opponent to the mat on 56% of his tries. Algeo is finishing his takedown tries on 33% of the tries he takes and deflects 62% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Ramos absorbs 3.28 strikes per minute and he dishes out 3.00 per minute. Algeo, notwithstanding, absorbs 5.31 strikes/min and connects on 6.80 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take David Dvorak (-145)

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