Danny Chavez vs Kai Kamaka Pick, 7/31/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 33 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/27/2021

ufc picks Danny Chavez predictions best bet odds

Danny Chavez vs Kai Kamaka

UFC Vegas 33

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 31, 2021

Danny Chavez will battle Kai Kamaka at UFC Vegas 33 on Saturday, July 31, 2021. The opener has Chavez priced at +104 while Kamaka is at -128.

Danny "The Colombian Warrior" Chavez has a career mark of 11-4-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Kai "The Fighting Hawaiian" Kamaka measures 5'7" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 8-4-0. The 26-year-old reaches 69". Regarding significant strikes, Danny Chavez lands 2.93 per minute while Kai Kamaka is landing 5.63 significant strikes per minute. Chavez connects on 39% of the significant strikes he throws and Kamaka is connecting on 56%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Colombian Warrior" allows 4.17 significant strikes per minute and "The Fighting Hawaiian" takes 6.26. Chavez also thwarts 53% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Kamaka curbs 54% of the strikes thrown his way.

UFC Vegas 33	Danny Chavez	Kai Kamaka
Opening Odds	+104	-128
Record	11-4-0	8-4-0
Average Fight Time	15:00	13:09
Height	5'8"	5'7"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	67"	69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.93	5.63
Striking Accuracy	39%	56%

In the grappling category, Danny Chavez is not as efficient of a wrestler as he gets a takedown 2.50 times per 15 minutes. Chavez is scoring a takedown on 80% of his attempts and defending 84% of all takedowns attempted on him. Kamaka is getting his opponent to the mat on 77% of his takedown attempts and defending 41% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of submissions, Chavez is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.2 submissions per 3 rounds while Kamaka looks to get 0.4 submissions per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Danny Chavez squared up with Jared Gordon and walked away with a loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Gordon ended up landing 138 of 191 total strikes that he let go. Chavez ended the night having landed 42 of 116 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Gordon ended up landing 82 of 131, giving him a percentage of 62%. He landed 41 of 89 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Chavez ended up landing 34% of his significant strikes by connecting on 39 of 113. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 23 of 91 pointed at the head. 81% of the significant strikes landed by Gordon and 97% of them landed by Chavez were done at distance.

In the last fight for Kai Kamaka, he fought TJ Brown and wound up losing the fight via split decision in round 3. Brown landed 93% of his significant strikes at distance and Kamaka landed 83% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Kamaka landed 47% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 61 of 128. He ended up connecting on 38 of 100 significant strikes directed at the head. Brown connected on 82 of 211 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 54 of 174 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes attempted in that contest, Brown ended up connecting on 110 of 243 and Kamaka connected on 85 of 155 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Ronnie Lawrence meets Trevin Jones. Lawrence looks to add a win to his career record of 7-1-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The switch fighter has a reach of 68". Jones stands 5'7" and will fight at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 13-6-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 70". In the grappling category, Ronnie Lawrence is able to score a takedown 10.86 times per 3 rounds and Trevin Jones is averaging a takedown 1.17 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Lawrence is landing 3.80 strikes/minute and lands 58% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Trevin Jones, who is connecting on 61% of the strikes he has thrown and is connecting on 3.84 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Orion Cosce is set to square up in the Octagon against Philip Rowe. Rowe will be looking to add a win to his career total of 7-3-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 80". Cosce measures 5'11" and will fight at 170 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this bout with a record of 7-0-0. The 27-year-old extends his reach 71". In the category of takedowns, Philip Rowe stops 25% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedowns on 33% of the times he tries. Cosce is taking his opponents down on 70% of the tries he takes and is able to deflect 70% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Rowe is absorbing 5.34 strikes/min and he is landing 4.99 strikes/min. Cosce, on the other side, takes 1.97 strikes/minute and is landing 4.56 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Danny Chavez (+104)

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Danny Chavez vs Kai Kamaka Pick, 7/31/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 33 Odds

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