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Curtis Blaydes vs Derrick Lewis Pick, 2/20/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 19 Odds

by Tony Sink - 2/17/2021

Derrick Lewis UFC

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Curtis Blaydes vs Derrick Lewis

UFC Vegas 19

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, February 20, 2021

Curtis Blaydes will face off with Derrick Lewis at UFC Vegas 19 on Saturday, February 20, 2021. The moneyline has Blaydes at -400 while Lewis is priced at +325.

Curtis "Razor" Blaydes looks to add a victory to his career record of 14-2-0. The 29-year-old records a weight of 265 lbs and stands 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 80". Derrick "The Black Beast" Lewis stands 6'3" and weighs in at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 24-7-0. The 36-year-old has a reach of 79". Regarding significant strikes, Curtis Blaydes is landing 3.55 per minute while Derrick Lewis lands 2.64 significant strikes per minute. Blaydes is landing 53% of the significant strikes he throws and Lewis is landing 50%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Razor" takes 1.73 significant strikes per minute and "The Black Beast" absorbs 2.09. Blaydes also prevents 57% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Lewis stops 44% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

 

UFC Vegas 19 Curtis Blaydes Derrick Lewis
Opening Odds -400 +325
Record 14-2-0 24-7-0
Average Fight Time 10:34 9:42
Height 6'4" 6'3"
Weight 265 lbs 260 lbs
Reach 80" 79"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.55 2.64
Striking Accuracy 53% 50%

 

Concerning grappling, Curtis Blaydes is the better grappler as he scores a takedown 6.98 times per 3 rds. Blaydes is scoring a takedown on 55% of his attempts and thwarting 33% of the attempts against him. Lewis is taking his opponents to the mat on 26% of his takedown tries and is defending 52% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of going for the sub, Blaydes is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.4 subs per 3 rounds while Lewis goes for 0.6 subs per 15 min.

The last time he fought, Curtis Blaydes squared up with Alexander Volkov and ended up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 5. Volkov landed 127 of 177 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Blaydes finished this fight landing 116 of 163 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Volkov landed 31 of 77, which gave him a rate of 40%. He landed 22 of 62 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Blaydes landed 69% of his significant strikes by landing 69 of 99. Of those significant strikes, he landed 34 of 60 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Volkov and 43% of them connected on by Blaydes were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Derrick Lewis, he fought Aleksei Oleinik and wound up taking home the victory by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. Oleinik landed 50% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Lewis ended up landing 14% of his significant strikes at distance. Lewis connected on 83% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 35 of 42. He connected on 34 of 41 significant strikes to the head. Oleinik landed 2 of 6 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 1 of 4 to the head. Discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Oleinik connected on 3 of 7 and Lewis was 35 of 42 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Charles Rosa squares up against Darrick Minner. Rosa will be looking to add a victory to his record of 13-4-0. The 34-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The switch fighter extends his reach 69". Minner stands in at 5'7" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 25-11-0. The 30-year-old stretches 69". In the grappling category, Charles Rosa gets his opposition to the mat 2.01 times per 15 minutes and Darrick Minner is averaging a takedown 1.50 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Rosa connects on 3.41 strikes/minute and is connecting on 37% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Darrick Minner, who tags the opposition on 65% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 3.61 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Chris Daukaus is set to enter the Octagon against Aleksei Oleinik. Oleinik comes into this bout with a mark of 59-14-1. The 43-year-old is weighing in at 240 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 80". Daukaus measures in at 6'3" and weighs 250 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 10-3-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 76". Regarding wrestling, Aleksei Oleinik is stopping 33% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents down on 48% of his tries. Daukaus is finishing his takedown tries on 30% of the tries he takes and defends against 20% of the takedowns his opponents try. With regard to striking, Oleinik takes 3.52 strikes per minute while he is connecting on 3.50 per minute. Daukaus, at the same time, takes 3.45 strikes per minute and is connecting on 9.58 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Curtis Blaydes (-400)

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