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Cortney Casey vs JJ Aldrich Pick, 3/13/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 21 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/10/2021

cortney casey ufc

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Cortney Casey vs JJ Aldrich

UFC Vegas 21

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 13, 2021

Cortney Casey will take on JJ Aldrich at UFC Vegas 21 on Saturday, March 13, 2021. The opening odds have Casey coming in at +130 while Aldrich is priced at -150.

Cortney "Cast Iron" Casey walks into the Octagon with a mark of 9-8-0. The 33-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 67". JJ Aldrich stands 5'5" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 8-4-0. The 28-year-old stretches 67". Concerning significant strikes, Cortney Casey lands 4.40 per min while JJ Aldrich connects on 3.88 significant strikes per minute. Casey is landing 38% of the significant strikes she attempts while Aldrich is connecting on 40%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Cast Iron" takes 4.31 significant strikes per min and Aldrich allows 4.68. Casey also thwarts 53% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt while Aldrich thwarts 62% of the strikes thrown her way.

 

UFC Vegas 21 Cortney Casey JJ Aldrich
Opening Odds +130 -150
Record 9-8-0 8-4-0
Average Fight Time 12:07 14:00
Height 5'7" 5'5"
Weight 135 lbs 125 lbs
Reach 67" 67"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.40 3.88
Striking Accuracy 38% 40%

 

In the grappling category, Cortney Casey is not as effective of a grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 0.31 times per 3 rds. Casey is scoring a takedown on 30% of the times she tries and is defending 37% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Aldrich is getting her opponent to the mat on 25% of her takedown tries and is stopping 53% of the attempts against her. In terms of subbing the opposition, Casey is the more able fighter by attempting 0.6 submissions per 15 minutes while Aldrich attempts 0.4 submissions per 15 min.

The last time she stepped into the Octagon, Cortney Casey squared up with Gillian Robertson and walked away with a loss by rear naked choke in round 3. Robertson ended up landing 41 of 72 of the strikes she let go in total for this contest. Casey ended the night having landed 113 of 153 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Robertson ended up landing 21 of 50, which means her percentage was 42%. She finished the fight landing 15 of 41 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Casey landed 40% of her significant strikes by landing 22 of 55. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she landed 16 of 47 to the head. 38% of the significant strikes connected on by Robertson and 90% of them connected on by Casey were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for JJ Aldrich, she squared up with Sabina Mazo and walked away with a loss via split decision in round 3. Mazo connected on 77% of her significant strikes at distance and Aldrich connected on 84% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Aldrich connected on 40% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 58 of 144. She landed 45 of 125 significant strikes to the head. Mazo landed 118 of 323 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, she connected on 66 of 258 to the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that contest, Mazo ended up connecting on 121 of 327 while Aldrich was 69 of 156 of all the strikes she threw.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Gloria de Paula squares up against Jinh Yu Frey. de Paula holds a mark of 5-2-0. The 25-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and stands 5'5". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Yu Frey comes in at 5'3" and will fight at 115 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 9-6-0. The 35-year-old reaches 65". In the grappling category, Gloria de Paula takes her opponents to the mat 0.40 times per 15 minutes and Jinh Yu Frey takes her opponents to the canvas 0.55 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, de Paula connects on 4.60 strikes per minute and connecting on 57% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Jinh Yu Frey, who is landing 48% of the strikes she attempts and lands an average of 1.90 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Belal Muhammad is set to square up in the Octagon against Leon Edwards. Edwards holds a career mark of 18-3-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands 6'2". The southpaw fighter reaches 74". Muhammad stands in at 5'11" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 18-3-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 72". Regarding wrestling, Leon Edwards stops 70% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents to the mat on 31% of his tries. Muhammad is finishing his takedowns on 28% of the attempts he tries and is able to thwart 84% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Edwards is taking 2.05 strikes per min while he lands 2.53 per minute. Muhammad, notwithstanding, is absorbing 4.03 strikes/min and is dealing 4.86 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take JJ Aldrich (-150)

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