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Claudio Puelles vs Jordan Leavitt Pick, 6/5/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 28 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 6/2/2021

Jordan Leavitt UFC

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Claudio Puelles vs Jordan Leavitt

UFC Vegas 28

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, June 5, 2021

Claudio Puelles will face off with Jordan Leavitt at UFC Vegas 28 on Saturday, June 5, 2021. The line has Puelles at +185 while Leavitt is priced at -225.

Claudio "El Nino" Puelles comes into this fight holding a mark of 10-2-0. The 25-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 72". Jordan "The Monkey King" Leavitt measures 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 8-0-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 71". Regarding significant strikes, Claudio Puelles is connecting on 1.95 per min while Jordan Leavitt is connecting on 1.08 significant strikes per minute. Puelles lands 44% of the significant strikes he tries while Leavitt connects on 55%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "El Nino" absorbs 3.73 significant strikes per minute and "The Monkey King" allows 0.43. Puelles also stops 50% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Leavitt prevents 75% of the shots thrown his way.

 

UFC Vegas 28 Claudio Puelles Jordan Leavitt
Opening Odds +185 -225
Record 10-2-0 8-0-0
Average Fight Time 11:26 2:19
Height 5'11" 5'9"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 72" 71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 1.95 1.08
Striking Accuracy 44% 55%

 

Regarding takedowns, Claudio Puelles is the lesser skilled grappler as he gets a takedown 3.06 times per 3 rds. Puelles is getting his opponent to the mat on 36% of his tries and is stuffing 20% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Leavitt is taking his opponents to the canvas on 66% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 30% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of subbing the opposition, Puelles is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 1.3 finishes per 15 minutes while Leavitt goes for 3.2 finishes per 15 min.

In his last bout, Claudio Puelles squared up with Marcos Mariano and took home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Mariano landed 5 of 12 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Puelles walked away from this fight having landed 101 of 116 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Mariano ended up landing 2 of 9, giving him a percentage of 22%. He ended up landing 0 of 6 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Puelles ended up landing 64% of his significant strikes by sticking 22 of 34. Of those significant strikes, he landed 21 of 32 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Mariano and 4% of them connected on by Puelles were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Jordan Leavitt, he squared up with Matt Wiman and wound up taking home the win by a slam to the ground in round 1. Wiman ended up connecting on 33% of his significant strikes at distance while Leavitt ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Leavitt ended up connecting on 100% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 1 of 1. He connected on 0 of 0 significant strikes aimed at the head. Wiman connected on 0 of 2 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 0 of 1 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes thrown, Wiman ended up landing 0 of 2 while Leavitt was 1 of 1 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Montana De La Rosa enters the Octagon with Ariane Lipski. De La Rosa steps into the cage with a mark of 11-6-1. The 26-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Lipski stands in at 5'6" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 13-6-0. The 27-year-old extends her reach 67". In terms of takedowns, Montana De La Rosa is able to score a takedown 2.14 times per 15 min while Ariane Lipski takes her opponents to the mat 0.27 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, De La Rosa lands 2.85 strikes/minute and connects on 36% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side we have Ariane Lipski, who lands 32% of the strikes she has thrown and lands an average of 3.03 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Maryna Moroz is set to clash with Manon Fiorot. Fiorot will be looking to add a victory to her total of 6-1-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Moroz comes in at 5'7" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her record of 10-3-0. The 29-year-old extends her reach 67". Concerning grappling, Manon Fiorot is able to deflect 70% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 80% of her tries. Moroz is taking her opponents to the mat on 18% of the tries she takes and deflects 47% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Fiorot is absorbing 1.86 strikes/minute while she is dealing 5.80 strikes per minute. Moroz, in contrast, is taking 4.15 strikes per minute and is dealing 4.09 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Jordan Leavitt (-225)

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