Chris Gruetzemacher vs Rafa Garcia Pick, 7/31/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 33 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 7/27/2021

ufc picks Chris Gruetzemacher predictions best bet odds

Chris Gruetzemacher vs Rafa Garcia

UFC Vegas 33

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 31, 2021

Chris Gruetzemacher will enter the Octagon with Rafa Garcia at UFC Vegas 33 on Saturday, July 31, 2021. The odds have Gruetzemacher priced at +220 while Garcia is coming in at -280.

Chris "Gritz" Gruetzemacher has a career record of 14-4-0. The 35-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Rafa "Gifted" Garcia measures 5'7" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 12-1-0. The 26-year-old reaches 70". When talking about significant strikes, Chris Gruetzemacher is connecting on 7.02 per minute while Rafa Garcia connects on 3.47 significant strikes per min. Gruetzemacher is landing 57% of the significant strikes he throws while Garcia is connecting on 23%. Regarding defense, "Gritz" takes 5.54 significant strikes per minute and "Gifted" takes 6.60. Gruetzemacher also stops 55% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Garcia is able to deflect 54% of the shots thrown.

UFC Vegas 33	Chris Gruetzemacher	Rafa Garcia
Opening Odds	+220	-280
Record	14-4-0	12-1-0
Average Fight Time	8:16	15:00
Height	5'8"	5'7"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	68"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	7.02	3.47
Striking Accuracy	57%	23%

In terms of wrestling, Chris Gruetzemacher is the more efficient grappler as he gets a takedown 0.70 times per 15 min. Gruetzemacher is getting his opponent to the mat on 20% of his tries and is stuffing 62% of all takedown tries against him. Garcia is taking his opponents down on 30% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 80% of the tries against him. Regarding subbing the opposition, Gruetzemacher is the more capable of the two fighters by going for 0.8 submissions per 3 rounds while Garcia looks to get 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Chris Gruetzemacher fought Alexander Hernandez and ended up losing the fight via a punch to the head in round 1. Hernandez ended up landing 29 of 52 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Gruetzemacher ended the night having landed 8 of 27 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Hernandez ended up landing 29 of 52, giving him a percentage of 55%. He ended up landing 16 of 34 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Gruetzemacher landed 29% of his significant strikes by sticking 8 of 27. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 4 of 20 to the head. 96% of the significant strikes connected on by Hernandez and 100% of them landed by Gruetzemacher were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Rafa Garcia, he squared up with Nasrat Haqparast and took a loss on the night by unanimous decision in round 3. Haqparast landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Garcia ended up connecting on 92% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Garcia ended up landing 23% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 52 of 217. He ended up landing 32 of 186 significant strikes to the head. Haqparast ended up connecting on 99 of 217 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 60 of 170 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Haqparast connected on 99 of 218 and Garcia was 54 of 219 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Danny Chavez enters the Octagon with Kai Kamaka. Chavez has a career mark of 11-4-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Kamaka measures 5'7" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 8-4-0. The 26-year-old reaches 69". Regarding grappling, Danny Chavez takes his opponents to the canvas 2.50 times per 15 min while Kai Kamaka scores a takedown 2.66 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Chavez lands 2.93 strikes/minute and lands 39% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Kai Kamaka, who tags his opponent on 56% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 5.63 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Trevin Jones is set to face off against Ronnie Lawrence. Lawrence looks to add a win to his career record of 7-1-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The switch fighter has a reach of 68". Jones stands 5'7" and will fight at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 13-6-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 70". Regarding wrestling, Ronnie Lawrence defends against 80% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is getting his opponent to the mat on 76% of his attempts. Jones is taking his opponents to the mat on 20% of his attempts and is able to stop 30% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Lawrence is taking 1.09 strikes/min while he deals 3.80 strikes per minute. Jones, at the same time, absorbs 6.81 strikes per min and dishes out 3.84 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Rafa Garcia (-280)

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Chris Gruetzemacher vs Rafa Garcia Pick, 7/31/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 33 Odds

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