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Free Picks » UFC Picks » Carlos Felipe vs Justin Tafa Pick, 1/16/2021 Predictions UFC on ABC 1 Odds

Carlos Felipe vs Justin Tafa Pick, 1/16/2021 Predictions UFC on ABC 1 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 1/11/2021

Justin Tafa UFC

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Carlos Felipe vs Justin Tafa

UFC on ABC 1

Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi

Saturday, January 16, 2021

Carlos Felipe will battle Justin Tafa at UFC on ABC 1 on Saturday, January 16, 2021. The opener has Felipe at -190 while Tafa is at +165.

Carlos "Boi" Felipe steps into the cage with a mark of 9-1-0. The 25-year-old records a weight of 245 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Justin "Bad Man" Tafa measures 6'0" and will fight at 264 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a career mark of 4-1-0. The 27-year-old stretches 74". In terms of significant strikes, Carlos Felipe is landing 4.07 per min while Justin Tafa lands 3.86 significant strikes per min. Felipe is connecting on 40% of the significant strikes he throws while Tafa connects on 66%. In terms of defending themselves, "Boi" allows 4.03 significant strikes per minute while "Bad Man" absorbs 2.65. Felipe also stops 51% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Tafa is able to deflect 52% of the shots thrown.

In terms of takedowns, Carlos Felipe is the more effective grappler as he gets a takedown 1.70 times per 3 rds. Felipe is taking his opponents to the canvas on 0% of his tries and stopping 62% of all takedown attempts. Tafa is scoring a takedown on 35% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 35% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Felipe is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.4 finishes per 15 min while Tafa tries 0.6 finishes per 3 rds.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Carlos Felipe went up against Yorgan De Castro and ended up winning this fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Castro ended up landing 113 of 174 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Felipe walked away from this fight having landed 88 of 187 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Castro landed 48 of 100, which gave him a percentage of 48%. He ended up landing 24 of 72 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Felipe landed 44% of his significant strikes by landing 78 of 177. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 39 of 127 pointed at the head. 70% of the significant strikes connected on by Castro and 83% of them connected on by Felipe were done at distance.

In the last fight for Justin Tafa, he fought Juan Adams and wound up taking home the victory via a punch to the head in round 1. Adams ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Tafa connected on 80% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Tafa landed 66% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 10 of 15. He connected on 5 of 9 significant strikes directed at the head. Adams ended up landing 7 of 11 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he landed 3 of 4 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Adams ended up landing 7 of 11 and Tafa ended up landing 10 of 15 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when David Zawada takes on Ramazan Emeev. Zawada holds a career record of 17-5-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and stands 6'0". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Emeev measures 5'10" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 19-4-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 76". When it comes to grappling, David Zawada scores a takedown 0.94 times per 3 rounds while Ramazan Emeev takes his opponents to the canvas 2.00 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Zawada connects on 3.38 strikes/minute and lands 41% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Ramazan Emeev, who is connecting on 43% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 2.29 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Austin Lingo is set to go up against Jacob Kilburn. Kilburn will be looking to add a win to his record of 8-3-0. The 25-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Lingo comes in at 5'10" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 7-1-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 70". Regarding takedowns, Jacob Kilburn is preventing 35% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is scoring a takedown on 20% of the times he tries. Lingo is finishing his takedown tries on 100% of his tries and curbs 50% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Kilburn takes 7.26 strikes/min and he is connecting on 0.77 strikes per minute. Lingo, at the same time, takes 2.07 strikes/minute and is dishing out 0.80 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Justin Tafa (+165)

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