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Carlos Felipe vs Jake Collier Pick, 6/12/2021 Predictions UFC 263 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 6/9/2021

Carlos Felipe ufc

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Carlos Felipe vs Jake Collier

UFC 263

Gila River Arena in Glendale, AZ

Saturday, June 12, 2021

Carlos Felipe will battle Jake Collier at UFC 263 on Saturday, June 12, 2021. The opener has Felipe at -170 while Collier is priced at +150.

Carlos "Boi" Felipe has a mark of 10-1-0. The 26-year-old weighs 245 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Jake "The Prototype" Collier comes in at 6'3" and is weighing in at 230 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 12-5-0. The 32-year-old has a reach of 78". In terms of significant strikes, Carlos Felipe lands 4.42 per min and Jake Collier is connecting on 4.92 significant strikes per min. Felipe is landing 45% of the significant strikes he attempts while Collier is landing 41%. In terms of defending in the cage, "Boi" allows 4.60 significant strikes per min while "The Prototype" absorbs 4.09. Felipe also deflects 47% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Collier is able to curb 53% of the shots thrown his way.

 

UFC 263 Carlos Felipe Jake Collier
Opening Odds -170 +150
Record 10-1-0 12-5-0
Average Fight Time 15:00 9:50
Height 6'0" 6'3"
Weight 245 lbs 230 lbs
Reach 75" 78"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.42 4.92
Striking Accuracy 45% 41%

 

In the wrestling category, Carlos Felipe is the lesser skilled wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.20 times per 15 minutes. Felipe is scoring a takedown on 30% of his attempts and is stuffing 70% of all takedowns attempted on him. Collier is finishing his takedowns on 23% of his takedown tries and thwarting 67% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Felipe is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by trying 0.2 subs per 3 rds while Collier tries 0.4 subs per 15 minutes.

In his previous bout, Carlos Felipe fought Justin Tafa and took home the win via split decision in round 3. Tafa landed 109 of 171 total strikes attempted in that fight. Felipe ended the night having landed 77 of 142 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Tafa landed 86 of 148, which gave him a rate of 58%. He finished the fight landing 50 of 107 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Felipe ended up landing 54% of his significant strikes by sticking 77 of 142. Of those significant strikes, he was 46 of 103 pointed at the head. 86% of the significant strikes landed by Tafa and 83% of them landed by Felipe were done at distance.

In the last bout for Jake Collier, he fought Gian Villante and ended up getting the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Villante connected on 98% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Collier ended up landing 98% of his significant strikes at distance. Collier connected on 45% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 123 of 272. He ended up landing 88 of 225 significant strikes aimed at the head. Villante ended up connecting on 80 of 197 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 58 of 168 to the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that fight, Villante ended up landing 81 of 198 and Collier ended up connecting on 126 of 277 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Lauren Murphy fights Joanne Calderwood. Murphy comes into this fight with a record of 14-4-0. The 37-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and measures 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Calderwood comes in at 5'6" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 15-5-0. The 35-year-old reaches 65". When it comes to grappling, Lauren Murphy is able to score a takedown 1.18 times per 3 rds while Joanne Calderwood is able to score a takedown 1.80 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Murphy connects on 3.80 strikes/minute and is landing 38% out of all the strikes she attempts. Joining her in the Octagon is Joanne Calderwood, who is landing 49% of the strikes she has thrown and connects on 6.59 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Alexis Davis is set to fight Pannie Kianzad. Kianzad steps into the cage with a record of 15-5-0. The 29-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Davis stands 5'6" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 20-10-0. The 36-year-old extends her reach 68". Regarding wrestling, Pannie Kianzad is preventing 83% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 14% of her tries. Davis is taking her opponents to the mat on 40% of her tries and deflects 34% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Kianzad is taking 3.62 strikes/minute while she is landing 5.14 per min. Davis, in contrast, absorbs 4.18 strikes/min and connects on 4.18 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Jake Collier (+150)

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