Carlos Condit vs Max Griffin Pick, 7/10/2021 Predictions UFC 264 Odds

by Tony Sink - 7/6/2021

ufc picks Carlos Condit predictions best bet odds

Carlos Condit vs Max Griffin

UFC 264

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 10, 2021

Carlos Condit will battle Max Griffin at UFC 264 on Saturday, July 10, 2021. The opening moneyline has Condit at +152 while Griffin is at -188.

Carlos "The Natural Born Killer" Condit looks to add a win to his career total of 32-13-0. The 37-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Max "Pain" Griffin stands 5'11" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 17-8-0. The 35-year-old stretches 76". When talking about significant strikes, Carlos Condit connects on 3.63 per min and Max Griffin lands 4.14 significant strikes per minute. Condit lands 39% of the significant strikes he tries while Griffin lands 48%. Regarding defending in the cage, "The Natural Born Killer" takes 2.49 significant strikes per minute while "Pain" allows 3.94. Condit also prevents 56% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Griffin is able to defend against 56% of the shots thrown.

UFC 264	Carlos Condit	Max Griffin
Opening Odds	+152	-188
Record	32-13-0	17-8-0
Average Fight Time	12:03	12:03
Height	6'2"	5'11"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	75"	76"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.63	4.14
Striking Accuracy	39%	48%

In terms of takedowns, Carlos Condit is not as effective of a wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.62 times per 3 rounds. Condit is taking his opponents to the canvas on 54% of his attempts and thwarting 39% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Griffin is finishing his takedown tries on 51% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 66% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of going for the submission, Condit is the more apt fighter by trying 1.0 submission per 3 rds while Griffin looks to get 0.5 submissions per 15 minutes.

In his previous fight, Carlos Condit squared up with Matt Brown and ended up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Brown landed 37 of 52 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Condit ended the night having landed 157 of 209 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Brown ended up landing 28 of 37, which means his percentage was 75%. He ended up landing 13 of 22 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Condit ended up landing 44% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 39 of 88. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 30 of 73 to the head. 39% of the significant strikes connected on by Brown and 56% of them connected on by Condit were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Max Griffin, he battled Song Kenan and wound up getting the win by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Kenan ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Griffin connected on 94% of his significant strikes at distance. Griffin landed 60% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 17 of 28. He ended up landing 11 of 17 significant strikes to the head. Kenan connected on 14 of 24 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 5 of 10 to the head. In terms of total strikes thrown in that contest, Kenan was 14 of 24 and Griffin ended up landing 17 of 28 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Niko Price enters the Octagon against Michel Pereira. Price has a record of 14-4-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 76". Pereira stands in at 6'1" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 25-11-0. The 27-year-old reaches 73". In the grappling category, Niko Price takes his opponents to the mat 0.89 times per 3 rounds while Michel Pereira is able to score a takedown 1.76 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Price is landing 5.33 strikes per min and lands 41% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Michel Pereira, who connects on 54% of the strikes that he throws and is connecting on 3.74 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Ilia Topuria is set to fight Ryan Hall. Hall will be looking to add a victory to his total of 8-1-0. The 36-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and stands 5'10". The southpaw fighter reaches 70". Topuria measures in at 5'7" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 10-0-0. The 24-year-old stretches 69". When it comes to takedowns, Ryan Hall defends against 40% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown tries on 16% of his attempts. Topuria is taking his opponents down on 55% of the attempts he tries and thwarts 80% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the matter of striking, Hall takes 0.96 strikes per minute while he lands 2.32 strikes/minute. Topuria, moreover, is absorbing 1.87 strikes/min and connects on 2.50 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Max Griffin (-188)

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Carlos Condit vs Max Griffin Pick, 7/10/2021 Predictions UFC 264 Odds

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