Carlos Condit vs Matt Brown Pick, 1/16/2021 Predictions UFC on ABC 1 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 1/11/2021

Carlos Condit vs Matt Brown

UFC on ABC 1

Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi

Saturday, January 16, 2021

Carlos Condit will face off with Matt Brown at UFC on ABC 1 on Saturday, January 16, 2021. The moneyline has Condit priced at -160 while Brown is priced at +140.

Carlos "The Natural Born Killer" Condit will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 31-13-0. The 36-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Matt "The Immortal" Brown measures 6'0" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 24-17-0. The 40-year-old has an arm span of 75". Regarding significant strikes, Carlos Condit lands 3.69 per min and Matt Brown is connecting on 3.81 significant strikes per min. Condit lands 39% of the significant strikes he throws and Brown connects on 54%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "The Natural Born Killer" absorbs 2.52 significant strikes per minute while "The Immortal" absorbs 2.68. Condit also defends 57% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Brown is able to curb 55% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

Concerning grappling, Carlos Condit is not as efficient of a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.55 times per 15 min. Condit is scoring a takedown on 55% of his attempts and is defending 36% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Brown is taking his opponents to the canvas on 47% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 63% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Condit is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by going for 1.1 finishes per 3 rounds while Brown tries 1.5 finishes per 3 rounds.

The last time he fought, Carlos Condit went up against Court McGee and ended up getting the win by unanimous decision in round 3. McGee landed 84 of 182 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Condit walked away from this fight having landed 88 of 230 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, McGee ended up landing 84 of 182, which gave him a rate of 46%. He landed 9 of 73 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Condit landed 38% of his significant strikes by connecting on 88 of 230. Of those significant strikes, he was 50 of 173 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by McGee and 98% of them connected on by Condit were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Matt Brown, he battled Miguel Baeza and was defeated by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Baeza ended up landing 78% of his significant strikes at distance while Brown ended up connecting on 63% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Brown connected on 54% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 33 of 61. He landed 25 of 51 significant strikes to the head. Baeza connected on 37 of 73 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 21 of 54 aimed at the head. When discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Baeza ended up connecting on 42 of 79 and Brown ended up connecting on 33 of 61 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Santiago Ponzinibbio faces off with Li Jingliang. Ponzinibbio steps into the cage holding a mark of 28-3-0. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter stretches 73". Jingliang stands 6'0" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 17-6-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 71". In terms of takedowns, Santiago Ponzinibbio takes his opponents down 0.54 times per 15 min while Li Jingliang takes his opponents to the canvas 1.32 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Ponzinibbio connects on 4.27 strikes/minute and landing 39% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Li Jingliang, who tags the opposition on 42% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 4.51 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Alessio Di Chirico is set to enter the Octagon with Joaquin Buckley. Buckley will be looking to add a win to his career total of 12-3-0. The 26-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter reaches 76". Di Chirico stands in at 6'0" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 12-5-0. The 31-year-old stretches 74". In terms of wrestling, Joaquin Buckley is stopping 100% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedowns on 16% of the times he tries. Di Chirico is finishing his takedowns on 45% of his attempts and is able to defend against 83% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Buckley absorbs 5.46 strikes/min while he is connecting on 4.89 strikes per minute. Di Chirico, on the other side, is absorbing 3.28 strikes per min and deals 3.25 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Matt Brown (+140)

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Carlos Condit vs Matt Brown Pick, 1/16/2021 Predictions UFC on ABC 1 Odds

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