Bryan Barberena vs Jason Witt Pick, 7/31/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 33 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 7/27/2021

ufc picks Bryan Barberena predictions best bet odds

Bryan Barberena vs Jason Witt

UFC Vegas 33

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 31, 2021

Bryan Barberena will face off with Jason Witt at UFC Vegas 33 on Saturday, July 31, 2021. The odds have Barberena priced at -265 while Witt is priced at +210.

Bryan "Bam Bam" Barberena steps into the cage holding a mark of 15-7-0. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and measures 6'0". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 72". Jason "The Vanilla Gorilla" Witt comes in at 5'10" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 18-7-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 70". When talking about significant strikes, Bryan Barberena connects on 5.48 per minute and Jason Witt lands 3.16 significant strikes per min. Barberena is connecting on 48% of the significant strikes he throws and Witt connects on 65%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Bam Bam" absorbs 4.70 significant strikes per minute and "The Vanilla Gorilla" allows 2.68. Barberena also defends against 45% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Witt is able to thwart 29% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

UFC Vegas 33	Bryan Barberena	Jason Witt
Opening Odds	-265	+210
Record	15-7-0	18-7-0
Average Fight Time	11:50	2:44
Height	6'0"	5'10"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	72"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.48	3.16
Striking Accuracy	48%	65%

Regarding grappling, Bryan Barberena is not as efficient of a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.23 times per 15 min. Barberena is getting his opponent to the mat on 28% of his attempts and defending 60% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Witt is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 40% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Barberena is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.5 submissions per 15 min while Witt attempts 1.8 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his previous bout, Bryan Barberena faced Anthony Ivy and wound up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Ivy ended up landing 54 of 105 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Barberena ended the night having landed 175 of 250 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Ivy ended up landing 36 of 84, which gave him a percentage of 42%. He finished the fight landing 26 of 72 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Barberena ended up landing 50% of his significant strikes by sticking 63 of 126. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 49 of 110 aimed at the head. 52% of the significant strikes connected on by Ivy and 63% of them landed by Barberena were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Jason Witt, he fought Matthew Semelsberger and wound up taking the loss via a punch to the head in round 1. Semelsberger ended up connecting on 66% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Witt connected on 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Witt connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 4 of 4. He landed 2 of 2 significant strikes aimed at the head. Semelsberger ended up landing 3 of 5 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 2 of 4 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Semelsberger ended up landing 3 of 5 while Witt connected on 4 of 4 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Niklas Stolze squares up against Mounir Lazzez. Stolze walks into the cage with a record of 12-4-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures 6'1". The switch fighter has a reach of 74". Lazzez measures 6'1" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 10-2-0. The 33-year-old reaches 76". When it comes to grappling, Niklas Stolze is averaging a takedown 1.00 times per 15 minutes while Mounir Lazzez gets a takedown 3.41 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Stolze is connecting on 2.00 strikes/min and connecting on 41% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Mounir Lazzez, who lands 55% of the strikes he has thrown and lands an average of 5.69 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Melsik Baghdasaryan is set to square up with Collin Anglin. Anglin holds a career record of 8-1-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Baghdasaryan comes in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 5-1-0. The 29-year-old stretches 70". Concerning wrestling, Collin Anglin is stopping 80% of the takedowns his opponents try and is getting his opponent to the mat on 75% of his tries. Baghdasaryan is taking his opponents to the mat on 20% of his tries and curbs 75% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Anglin takes 3.47 strikes per minute while he lands 5.87 strikes/min. Baghdasaryan, on the other side, is absorbing 3.80 strikes/minute and connects on 6.80 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Bryan Barberena (-265)

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Bryan Barberena vs Jason Witt Pick, 7/31/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 33 Odds

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