Brad Tavares vs Antonio Carlos Junior Pick, 1/23/2021 Predictions UFC 257 Odds

by Tony Sink - 1/22/2021

Brad Tavares vs Antonio Carlos Junior

UFC 257

Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi

Saturday, January 23, 2021

Brad Tavares will enter the Octagon with Antonio Carlos Junior at UFC 257 on Saturday, January 23, 2021. The line has Tavares coming in at -125 while Junior is at +105.

Brad Tavares comes into this bout with a mark of 17-7-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 74". Antonio "Cara de Sapato" Carlos Junior measures in at 6'2" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 11-4-0. The 30-year-old stretches 79". In terms of significant strikes, Brad Tavares is connecting on 3.00 per min and Antonio Carlos Junior is landing 1.91 significant strikes per minute. Tavares is connecting on 40% of the significant strikes he attempts while Carlos Junior is connecting on 44%. In terms of defending in the cage, Tavares takes 2.76 significant strikes per minute and "Cara de Sapato" allows 1.98. Tavares also stops 55% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Carlos Junior is able to curb 53% of the shots thrown in his direction.

In terms of wrestling, Brad Tavares is the lesser skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.03 times per 3 rounds. Tavares is taking his opponents to the canvas on 27% of his attempts and stuffing 77% of all takedown tries against him. Carlos Junior is taking his opponents to the canvas on 44% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 53% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding submission attempts, Tavares is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by going for 0.5 subs per 3 rds while Carlos Junior tries 0.9 subs per 3 rds.

In his last bout, Brad Tavares fought Edmen Shahbazyan and took a loss on the night by way of a kick to the head in round 1. Shahbazyan ended up landing 14 of 38 total strikes attempted in that fight. Tavares ended the night having landed 3 of 23 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Shahbazyan ended up landing 14 of 38, giving him a percentage of 36%. He ended up landing 12 of 36 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Tavares ended up landing 13% of his significant strikes by connecting on 3 of 23. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 1 of 19 aimed at the head. 71% of the significant strikes landed by Shahbazyan and 100% of them connected on by Tavares were done at distance.

In the last bout for Antonio Carlos Junior, he fought Uriah Hall and took a loss on the night by split decision in round 3. Hall ended up connecting on 64% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Junior connected on 81% of his significant strikes at distance. Junior ended up connecting on 31% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 22 of 69. He connected on 16 of 63 significant strikes aimed at the head. Hall ended up connecting on 34 of 79 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he landed 31 of 75 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that fight, Hall landed 41 of 86 while Junior ended up connecting on 81 of 148 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Khalil Rountree fights Marcin Prachnio. Rountree walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 9-4-0. The 30-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter stretches 76". Prachnio stands 6'3" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 13-5-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 74". Regarding grappling, Khalil Rountree is averaging a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rounds while Marcin Prachnio takes his opponents to the canvas 0.40 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Rountree is connecting on 3.01 strikes/minute and connects on 40% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Marcin Prachnio, who is connecting on 48% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 3.26 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Makhmud Muradov is set to go up against Andrew Sanchez. Sanchez holds a career record of 13-5-0. The 32-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 74". Muradov measures in at 6'2" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 24-6-0. The 30-year-old stretches 75". In terms of grappling, Andrew Sanchez is able to defend against 100% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown tries on 32% of his tries. Muradov is finishing his takedowns on 25% of his tries and is able to defend against 80% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Sanchez is taking 4.92 strikes per minute while he is landing 4.57 per minute. Muradov, at the same time, takes 2.57 strikes/min and is connecting on 4.97 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Antonio Carlos Junior (+105)

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Brad Tavares vs Antonio Carlos Junior Pick, 1/23/2021 Predictions UFC 257 Odds

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